August 31, 2006
The Sky is Falling! Not
Someone I respect greatly and love dearly has been spreading MSM-like "end times" stories about the state of GOP leadership in Congress come November. And who can blame him, with polls like these on the "Generic Congressional Vote" showing Democrats leading Republicans 50 points to 38. But we don't elect legislators that way, kids. We send folks to Washington from distinct geographical areas that must be considered individually and specifically. Type in house races 2006 polling map on Google and click I'm Feeling Lucky. You'll get Election Projection - 2006 Edition, an admitted GOP leaning site that breaks them all down using objective data. The result? GOP loses 4 in the Senate and Dems gain 8 in the house. Still Republican control all around.
And this doesn't even count my, "Oh crap, Democrats really DO want to lose the war" bounce on election eve.
Politics Posted by JohnGalt at August 31, 2006 7:48 PM
I don't know who your sagacious friend is, but he has some unfortunately good company. Michael Barone, Fred Barnes, and William Kristol have all admitted an extreme likelihood of losing the House, and all three live and die by the kind of district-by-district evaluation you champion. (Barone's claim is that he has visited all 435).
Posted by: jk at August 31, 2006 8:03 PMTo be fair, Hugh Hewitt is with you and points to GOP advantages in fundraising: http://hughhewitt.townhall.com/g/db79ec5f-9196-4616-86c3-8dc9e5fe0e82
Posted by: jk at September 2, 2006 5:46 PM | What do you think? [2]