December 2, 2014

Quote of the Day

Y'know, I try to feel sorry for Bayou State Senator Mary Landrieu (de mortuis - LA), but I just can't.

Senate Democrats like Barbra Boxer of California and Ben Cardin of Maryland helped torpedo her Keystone legislation, then offered Ms. Landrieu token pecuniary support in the run-off--the political equivalent of giving flowers at a funeral. On Monday, President Obama sang her praises on a conference call with his liberal supporters that rang like a eulogy.

Posted by John Kranz at 2:35 PM | Comments (0)

November 21, 2014

Quote of the Week

Perhaps Emperor Obama has an effective plan. It's not a Constitutional plan, and it's not really even an American plan -- but it could be a strong plan for tyranny, based on new imported demography.

As we have seen, the Founders worried greatly about Caesarism, and they did their best to safeguard against it. But back in the 18th century, they couldn't be expected to foresee every possible subversion of their new Republic. Today, in the 21st century, it's our job to assess the new threat to our Constitution, and to make a new strategy to preserve and defend it.

- Breitbart columnist "Virgil" in A Republic, If We Can Keep It: The Founders vs. 'Emperor Obama'

Posted by JohnGalt at 3:40 PM | Comments (0)

November 12, 2014

Tinfoil -- SHiny Side Out?

All Hail Insty:

If the Gruber video had come out before the election, would the GOP have picked up Virginia and New Hampshire? Quite possibly. -- Glenn Reynolds

Posted by John Kranz at 3:42 PM | Comments (8)
But jk thinks:

Plus, the GOP could have won Virginia if not for a Libertarian candidate's serving liberty by electing Terry McAuliffe. Go Team Freedom!

Posted by: jk at November 12, 2014 4:13 PM
But johngalt thinks:

Three Sources: Where conspiracy theories go to die.

;)

Posted by: johngalt at November 12, 2014 5:32 PM
But Keith Arnold thinks:

"Why wasn't it released before the election?"

Brothers, I've been asking that question about the Los Angeles Times' famous Rashid Khalidi tape since 2008. Where the heck have you guys been? Welcome to the party, glad you could make it.'

And the SCOAMF's academic records, and his passport history... and so on, and so on, ad infinitum, ad nauseum, amen. The records are sealed; so let it be written, so let it be done!

Seriously, the fourth estate is a fifth column. The Russians learned this long ago, when they invented the dictum, "In Pravda there is no news, and in Izvestia there is no truth."

Posted by: Keith Arnold at November 12, 2014 8:44 PM
But jk thinks:

I think I have been with you on most of it. I really do not know the provenance of this one. The Khalidi tape was in the hands of a media organization in time and they discarded a scoop for partisan purposes. This was found by an investment analyst pouring over old tapes. I don't know if it was known three weeks ago -- have you seen otherwise? I'll trade Occam's Razor for the tinfoil chapeau if appropriate.

Posted by: jk at November 13, 2014 10:12 AM
But nanobrewer thinks:

I don't like the "populist" slant towards electioneering, but I think the Gruber comments need to be flogged constantly, especially as the GOP moves to gut and replace Obamacare.

Here's hoping: I've been impressed with the previously-gutless versions of McConnel and Boehner, but the post-eletion reboots seem to be, indeed, new & improved.

Posted by: nanobrewer at November 13, 2014 1:07 PM
But johngalt thinks:

Glad I'm not the only one with an improved opinion of McConnell, NB. Holding my ruling on Boehner. Check out my latest post above: 'Somewhere Between RINO and Rebel' for my take on Mitch.

As for O-care, let's all just sit back and see how SCOTUS does on King v. Burwell. With a little luck we'll get to watch it rip itself apart, in slow motion, in HDTV, when the federal subsidies are ruled unconstitutional.

Posted by: johngalt at November 13, 2014 2:55 PM

November 7, 2014

Obamacare SCOTUS - Part II

JK scooped the latest Kim Strassel piece, but I can still work his side of the street on the SCOTUS beat:

In the wake of the historic reversal of the 2008 election Tuesday the wish lists for the new Congress are already being written. This one is typical:

5 Actions Republicans should take in the new Congress:

- Approve the Keystone Pipeline.
- Block Obama's Executive Amnesty.
- Fully repeal Obamacare.
- Unshackle our energy resources by removing unnecessary energy regulations.
- Secure the southern border.

Like If You Agree

But news of a surprising move by the US Supreme Court today is enough to convince me that no time or political capital should be expended on Obamacare, at least not until the Supremes rule later this session:

One thing we can be sure of is this: If the Court throws out the subsidies on the federal exchange, ObamaCare will have to have a massive fix, and Obama will be in no position to veto what the Republican Congress puts in front of him. Surely it will include a lot more changes than simply the fix to this issue, and Obama won't like that, but ObamaCare with subsidies only for people in 16 states cannot survive.

H/T: Brer jk for finding the "historic reversal" linked article.

Posted by JohnGalt at 2:11 PM | Comments (1)
But jk thinks:

Could not be more excited, this is great news.

Also agree that it's a superb reason for the 114th to kick full repeal down the road.

Posted by: jk at November 7, 2014 3:38 PM

November 4, 2014

Election Day!

There was one more ballot return count from the SoS office this morning. The next count will be the final one, and will be proceeded by the actual vote tally, so only eggheads like me will even care.

Turnout%2014%20general%20graph%2011-04.jpg


While a far cry from the heady day of October 24, when the R-D differential was 12 points, we're still looking at 7.3 points at the moment - 5 points better than in 2012. And another ray of optimism for Republicans, or everyone who's opposed to redistributionist, authoritarian Progressive Democrats, is that this election has seen significantly fewer young voters and significantly more "seasoned" ones.

CPP%2014%20turnout%20by%20age.jpg

UPDATE: RNC Chief of Staff Mike Shields talks about Colorado early voters:

"Our work has been focused on getting these voters to the polls early or to vote absentee if possible, so that we build up our vote totals ahead of Election Day and cut into the Democrats' traditional early vote advantage," Shields added. "While we're turning out low propensity voters, our data tell us that Democrats have actually been turning out voters who would vote regardless."
Posted by JohnGalt at 11:38 AM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

"...so only eggheads like me will even care." Unless the Democrats capitalize on their 30% chance to re-elect Udall, when many may be interested in how many votes came in at the last minute. And in what counties. *cough* Boulder *cough*

Posted by: johngalt at November 4, 2014 5:29 PM

November 3, 2014

Sen Udall Heckled by Wealthy Donor

Or so says that rightwing, Koch-funded . . . ummmm, The Guardian.

In a populist, energising speech, Udall mocked the "plutocrat" Koch brothers, who bankrolled TV ads for his Republican rival Cory Gardner, and praised "the clipboard army" who were about to begin knocking on doors.

"I know you can do it. We’re surging. Ignore the polls."

The crowd cheered and autumn leaves fluttered about the senator like confetti.

Then, finally, came the only reference to policy in Udall's speech. "And by the way, I'm proud to stand with Colorado's women," he said, almost as an aside. "I'm proud to stand for reproductive freedom."

An angry voice from the crowd jeered: "That's not the only thing you stand for! Jesus Christ!"

Posted by John Kranz at 6:20 PM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

That wasn't all he said. There's more, including an F-bomb. And the disgruntled donor's name, at this link. Colorado Peak Politics is offering $100 to anyone who produces video of the moment.

Posted by: johngalt at November 4, 2014 11:31 AM

Colorado Early Vote: Election Day Eve

Turnout%2014%20general%20graph%2011-03.jpg

Some analysis here, including more pretty graphs.

The Unaffiliated sentiment is the biggest factor. It looks like we'll soon know whether or not there's a War on Womyn. *

* It can't be called a war on all women anymore, now that our president has told us that "we" don't want moms to stay at home and raise families. Or at least, not a war on those women by Republicans.

"Sometimes, someone, usually mom, leaves the workplace to stay home with the kids, which then leaves her earning a lower wage for the rest of her life as a result. And that's not a choice we want Americans to make."

Video at the link.

Posted by JohnGalt at 12:45 PM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

In a radio news interview today, Quinnipiac polling spokesman [somebody] Malloy estimated that unaffiliateds are breaking for OOH-dull, 43/36 percent. Applying those weightings to the early U vote through today results in a Gardner win, 49.9% to 43.6% for Uterus.

Posted by: johngalt at November 3, 2014 4:26 PM

Five Thirty Eight

They all laughed at the "anti-science" Republicans who doubted Nate Silver's "scientific" 538 polling. Especially as he nailed 2012 against the last suggestions of optimism on the right.

With that in mind, enjoy:

In the latest FiveThirtyEight Senate forecast, Democrats still have a 27 percent chance of holding on to control of the chamber. But the more pressing question now may be the size of the Republican majority come next Congress. New polls out this weekend suggest that Republicans may not just win the six seats they need for control, but quite possibly eight seats -- Republicans now have a 41.4 percent chance of doing just that.

Harry Enten likes GOP Senate chances in Colorado and Iowa. It seems JK's money is working, but I have not heard much good news for Mia Love in Utah.

Posted by John Kranz at 12:10 PM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

On the flip side, the same pollster has Colorado's squishy Governor 59% likely to remain in office. That's the statewide race I've been least sanguine about. Still believe Gessler would have done better. But maybe this will help.

Posted by: johngalt at November 3, 2014 1:01 PM

October 31, 2014

Electoral Calculus

Between Wednesday and today, 244,245 more ballots were returned by Colorado voters.
68,557 were unaffiliated with a party
76,542 were registered Democratic
96,427 were registered Republican

The derivative of the R-D margin, which I had projected at -1% per reporting interval, slipped to just -0.3%. The second derivative, i.e. the "momentum" of the Republican vs. the Democratic "ground game" is therefore positive at this point.

Turnout%2014%20general%20graph%2010-31.jpg

Posted by JohnGalt at 12:14 PM | Comments (3)
But dagny thinks:

I dunno JG, it sounds a little like calling a reduction in the rate of increase of spending a, "spending cut."

Posted by: dagny at October 31, 2014 1:30 PM
But johngalt thinks:

Awesome!

Okay, you remember the rate equation story problems we used to work in school? "How long does it take for the barrel to fill up" and "will it be full before the polls close at 7 pm on November 4?" If the rate doesn't look fast enough to fill the barrel by then, that's a good thing. If that rate then SLOWS even MORE, that's even better.

Posted by: johngalt at October 31, 2014 1:45 PM
But jk thinks:

'course I went before Common Core™, but we never had a nefarious union thug standing over said barrel with a large bucket of water and a fire hose. Kinda changes things...

Posted by: jk at October 31, 2014 3:58 PM

October 30, 2014

Live Debate: Is There a War on Women? (Bumped)

Watch below on the Independence Institute.

Starring Kelly Maher, Susan Green and Laura Carno, according to Jon Caldera. Perhaps others as well.


live streaming video on Ustream

UPDATE: Here's the recording

Posted by JohnGalt at 6:27 PM | Comments (15)
But johngalt thinks:

Loved the Laura Carno point that "Our mothers used to say that they don't need a man to tell them what to do but women today are letting a government tell them what to do."

Posted by: johngalt at October 31, 2014 1:50 PM
But johngalt thinks:

And I commend the several areas of agreement and the fact that they all wished to celebrate said agreement.

Posted by: johngalt at October 31, 2014 1:52 PM
But jk thinks:

Okay, I had a good night's rest and ate a nutritious lunch and can watch the rest in my newly fortified condition.

Laura Carno (maybe we can all agree she's the star?) at 50:25 "Pro Choice on doctors, health plan, and my self defense. I want to be the one to choose how big my magazine is..." Yeah!

Posted by: jk at October 31, 2014 3:41 PM
But jk thinks:

If we have time... when the elections are past ...

I'd love to hear if anyone believes there is anything to Laura Chapin's dystopian tales of reproductive rights in the Lone Star State. Just because her style makes me want to gnaw my own arm off to get away, all of us believe in the deleterious effects of regulation. Anything to the charge that Texans have made abortions so difficult that that have basically outlawed them?

Posted by: jk at November 3, 2014 10:16 AM
But johngalt thinks:

I believe she's referring to the "hospital where the physician has admitting privileges within his or an adjacent county" that Abortion Barbie made her name filibustering. If the measure also included "or an emergency room" I'd be fine with it. "Admitting privileges" is a barrier to entry for a great many abortionists.

Posted by: johngalt at November 3, 2014 6:21 PM
But jk thinks:

I thought Ms. Davis's red sneakers filibuster concerned a bill banning the termination of 20+ week pregnancies.

I'm not at all swayed by her suggestion that some go to Mexico. I think if I lived there, I'd go to Mexico for haircuts.

But I want to be charitable, and it is easy to see that regulation could provide a path around Casey.

Posted by: jk at November 3, 2014 7:01 PM

October 29, 2014

Wave Propagation 2

Latest chart:

Turnout%2014%20general%20graph%2010-29.jpg

Did somebody say differentials?

The d(R-D)/dT values are 0.7%, -3.2%, -0.1%, -1.7% and -1.0% over the six data points. Extrapolated curve uses the most recent slope, -1.0% per interval.

Posted by JohnGalt at 12:20 PM | Comments (2)
But jk thinks:

Thanks, feeling a little better. Plus Rasmussen has Cory Gardner above 50% for the first time ever.

I remain worried about the vaunted Democrat turnout/fraud machine. That -- as much as math -- has me looking at the slopes.

Posted by: jk at October 29, 2014 1:02 PM
But johngalt thinks:

You mean, like "Republican" poll watchers in "Democrat County Clerk Hillary Hall's" * Boulder County Clerk's Office actually being Democrats? And not objecting when ballots with obviously non-matching signatures are counted anyway? That kind of "turnout" and "fraud?"

* In protest of the Boulder Daily Camera describing state election officials as "member[s] of Republican Secretary of State Scott Gessler's staff."

Note the call to Boulder County Republicans to go to poll watcher training this Saturday morning and to volunteer in the clerk's office next Mon, Tues or Wed. Alert your righty BoCo friends.

Posted by: johngalt at October 29, 2014 2:25 PM

October 28, 2014

Wave Propagation

Colorado election return data update from Monday, 10/27:

Republicans down 1 point to 43%.
Democrats steady at 32%.

Margin closer by 1 point at 11%.

(Unaffiliateds up one from 23% to 24%.) So really, I would call this "unchanged."

Turnout%2014%20general%20graph%2010-27.jpg

Back story here.

UPDATE: The graph appears to show a slight rise in the D turnout so I extended the percentages to the first decimal place. Democrat turnout is up, 0.7%. Republicans down 1.0 and U's up 0.3%.

Posted by JohnGalt at 12:06 PM | Comments (3)
But jk thinks:

We are completely screwed. Well, it was fun.

Posted by: jk at October 28, 2014 1:10 PM
But johngalt thinks:
But johngalt thinks:

The wild card? Denver and Boulder unaffiliateds.

http://completecolorado.com/pagetwo/2014/10/27/2014-midterm-all-mail-voting-spikes-early-turnout-compared-to-2010/

Posted by: johngalt at October 28, 2014 3:05 PM

October 24, 2014

Otequay of the Ayday

The liberal Denver Post endorsed Mr. Gardner, chiding the Democrat for failing to talk about substantive issues. Mr. Gardner has jumped on that contrast, too, ramping up his focus on kitchen-table issues like the economy, energy, education and the environment -- which polls show are resonating well with independents and Denver suburbanites, crucial voting blocs. He also seems to be holding his own among Hispanic voters.

Mr. Udall has now all but given up on claiming he has a winning message; his campaign has been reduced to promising that the party's vaunted ground operation will grind out a surprise victory. And maybe it will. But this year's Colorado is hardly proving a blueprint for future Democratic campaigns. It's modeling gone wrong.

The inestimable and ever-grounded Kim Strassel: The 'Colorado Model' Goes Thud

Special Bonus Quote:

If Colorado is serving as a model for anything these days, it's the risks of Democratic overreach.

Eadray the whole ingthay. It is short, sweet, and packed with peanuts.

Posted by JohnGalt at 4:49 PM | Comments (0)

Catch a wave...

and you're sittin' on top of the world!

I just commented on The Three Sources Platform? post that, in Colorado's 2012 general election, less than 1 percent of the ballots returned were by registered Libertarians or American Constitution Party members. That doesn't seem like much until one considers that the turnout amongst registered Democrats was 35% and Republicans 37%, with Unaffiliateds making up 28% of the vote. The narrow 2-point margin between the parties whose candidates might actually win can easily be swamped by an unequal split amongst U's, and the minor party votes may or may not make a difference in any individual race. (Usually, it should be noted, not.)

The 2012 election results were mixed, with Democrats and Republicans winning about equally, Democrats having a slight edge in both legislative houses. So the question now becomes, what does 2014 look like? We won't know for sure until election weeks come to an end on November 4th but because of the Secretary of State's practice that I highlighted last week, early voting returns tabulated by party affiliation are available to the public and are updated Monday, Wednesday and Friday of each week. So how do they look? Not good for Democrats.

Republicans are up 7 points to 44%.

Democrats are down 3 to 32%.

The margin is therefore up from 2% to 12%. (That's plus 10 points, boys and girls.)

(Unaffiliateds are down too, from 28% to 23%)

And this breakdown has been fairly consistent since the first of four data dumps, starting last Friday, as shown in the graph below.

Turnout%2014%20general%20graph%2010-24.jpg

Keep up the good ground game, GOP!

Posted by JohnGalt at 2:50 PM | Comments (8)
But johngalt thinks:

Editor's note: Important text has been emphasized for the reader's convenience. (I would have added color and flashing arrows too, but I'm not that good with HTML.)

Posted by: johngalt at October 24, 2014 5:12 PM
But jk thinks:

Thanks for speaking slowly and using very small words. It is appreciated.

Posted by: jk at October 24, 2014 5:45 PM
But dagny thinks:

Because so many Democrat operatives that might work on that, "prevent defense," read Three Sources to keep up to speed???

Posted by: dagny at October 24, 2014 6:04 PM
But johngalt thinks:

Alright you Grinches, if I am left to be encouraged by this in solitude then so be it. I pledge to keep graphing each new set of data and we can all watch for the vaunted Udall ground-game ballot dump whenever it may come about, together.

Posted by: johngalt at October 24, 2014 6:17 PM
But jk thinks:

It's a tough room, man, I may have mentioned that before.

Posted by: jk at October 24, 2014 6:41 PM
But johngalt thinks:

Still not as tough as FB. Man, it got brutal over there. I had to say I was w, wr, wro, uh, not right enough this week.

Posted by: johngalt at October 24, 2014 6:50 PM

October 22, 2014

Women Weary of War on Them

Yahoo news: AP-GfK Poll: Most expect GOP victory in November

Women have moved in the GOP's direction since September. In last month's AP-GfK poll, 47 percent of female likely voters said they favored a Democratic-controlled Congress while 40 percent wanted the Republicans to capture control. In the new poll, the two parties are about even among women, 44 percent prefer the Republicans, 42 percent the Democrats.
Posted by JohnGalt at 12:02 PM | Comments (0)

October 20, 2014

Surely it was a Gynecology Textbook!

Not a stellar interview for Mark Udall (OB/GYN - CO):


Udall answered a series of ten questions, answers to some of which came more easily than others. For instance, when asked whether the Affordable Care Act should be repealed, the senator quickly said "no."

The first clue that something was up came when his response to "Is Common Core good or bad for Colorado students?" was "Yes."

But things really went off the rails when Udall was asked to name the three most influential books he's ever read along with the last song he listened to. He quickly came up with Profiles in Courage by John F. Kennedy, but then, after a lengthy pause, he appeared to be stumped.

"We can play this over, right, I mean re-tape this?" Udall asked the interviewer, perhaps not realizing that the clip would go out as-is. "I'm brain dead today," he admitted after failing to come up with the last song he listened to.

Realizing his mistake, Udall finally got it together and finished answering the probing questions.


Posted by John Kranz at 4:22 PM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

"Who am I? Why am I here?"

With apologies to Vice Admiral James Stockdale, RIP.

Posted by: johngalt at October 20, 2014 4:58 PM

October 11, 2014

Can I Get Cocky Now, Han?

I can't tell how real these are, but 36 hours ago I thought we were looking at the closest Senatorial and Congressional race in the country. Giving up?

Posted by John Kranz at 11:58 AM | Comments (0)

October 10, 2014

POST ENDORSES GARDNER!!!

[Senator Uterus's] obnoxious one-issue campaign is an insult to those he seeks to convince.

Unbelievable!

Posted by John Kranz at 3:45 PM | Comments (2)
But nanobrewer thinks:

This is amazing; unprecedented since the early 90's, IIRC.

I've long believed, and now am beginning to feel justified, that the Dem's have been heading towards the loony-left bin for ages, and that Udall is one of the leading dunces; still, competition is fierce with Pelosi, Reid, Boxer and the new State Dept. spokesperson Jen Psaki (check this out: http://twitchy.com/2014/04/28/the-onion-next-state-departments-jen-psaki-ridiculed-for-citing-daily-kos-think-progress-as-reference-sources/ ).

Other nominees from TS? Full justification will only come with the R's taking full control of Congress, however. The money Dem's are pouring in are daunting....

Posted by: nanobrewer at October 11, 2014 1:51 PM
But jk thinks:

I took the liberty of a little HTML-surgery on your comment, nb. The link was not opening.

And here's nb's favorite ennumerating the successes of the Iraqi security forces. She is a piece of work.

My friends on the left, however, are fond of saying the exact same thing: those damned teabaggers are driving the GOP to the loony right! Gone are the "moderate" voices of Lowell Weicker, Lincoln Chafee and Dick Lugar.

Posted by: jk at October 12, 2014 6:33 PM

Kim Strassel on "Senator Uterus"

Polls suggest the #waronwomen may be weakening

Mr. Udall's race offers another insight into the Democrats' diminishing war-on-women returns. Women are open to a bit of fear-mongering about Republicans, but they are less sure about a Democrat who can’t talk about anything else. A September Quinnipiac poll in Colorado asked voters to rank their top issues. About 77% of women polled listed one of the following as their top voting issue: the economy, health care, immigration, energy. About 16% said their big issue was abortion. Mr. Udall had likely locked up that 16% before he even started campaigning. Who has he been talking to since?

Posted by John Kranz at 10:12 AM | Comments (0)

October 8, 2014

Quote of the Day

Look, I didn't call Sen. Mark Udall (D-CO) [0%] "Mark Uterus:" the debate moderator last night did. -- Moe Lane.
[...]
PS: This is, by the way, not a distraction from the larger issues of the campaign: it is a larger issue of the campaign. Cory Gardner is attempting to run on the economy and jobs. Mark Uterus can't do that, because his record on both is awful: so he is instead attempting to run on... well. Mark Udall deserves all the scorn that he might get.
UPDATE: The 0% is Senator Uterus's "Heritage Action Scorecard" score.
Posted by John Kranz at 4:35 PM | Comments (0)

October 7, 2014

Dude Cannot Even Vote "Present"

Posted by John Kranz at 3:57 PM | Comments (0)

Organizing the Other Side

In the Washington Examiner, Byron York chronicles the desperate effort to "save Democrats from Barack Obama" this election cycle.

So now Bill Clinton is leading what is, in effect, an effort to rescue the Democratic Party from Barack Obama. In Conway, Clinton pronounced himself "sick and tired of people trying to stir people up, make them foam at the mouth and vote for what they're against instead of what they're for. How many times have we seen people do something they knew better than to do just because they were in a snit?"

But Mister President, isn't that just another example of "community organizing?"

This is necessary because "A president's job approval rating is a pretty reliable predictor of midterm voting, and Obama's ratings are down in several states in which Democrats are in danger of losing Senate seats. In addition to Obama's 31 percent approval in Arkansas, the president is at 39 percent in Louisiana, 40 percent in Iowa, and 42 percent in North Carolina, according to PPP."

And, on (RCP) average, 41 percent in Colorado. More devastating, perhaps, is the spread between approval and disapproval in these states. Arkansas, -27%; Louisiana, -20%, Iowa, -12%; North Carolina, -12%; and Colorado, -13%. These compare to -23% in red-meat Montana and -30% in "my favorite" coal-miner's daughter's state of Kentucky. Even in Oregon, where the president's popularity is among the highest at 46.5 percent, the spread is negative at -2.3 percent. (And -14 percent in one poll.)

No wonder Republicans are so gleeful, and Democrats "winced" when the president recently said, "Make no mistake," during an economic speech in Evanston, Illinois. "These policies are on the ballot -- every single one of them."

Posted by JohnGalt at 11:51 AM | Comments (1)
But Keith Arnold thinks:

The SCOAMF has an approval rating lower than the average of the last six Raiders head coaches (and almost as low as their previous owner), and he wonders why his party's candidates are trying with all their might to distance themselves from him.

Posted by: Keith Arnold at October 7, 2014 1:21 PM

October 2, 2014

Electoral Politics point-counterpoint

Nancy Pelosi is feeling confident.


"They have no ideas. They have nothing to offer the American people in terms of job creation, financial stability, lowering the cost of education, raising the minimum wage, stopping their tax breaks for their friends to send jobs overseas," she said.

Ummm, get out of the way, get out of the way, get out of the way, get out of the way and finally, get out of the way.

Pelosi said voters weren't responding to the GOP agenda.

According to the latest RCP 2014 Senate "no toss-ups" map the pick ups are: Republicans, 8 - Democrats, 0.

2014_elections_senate_map_no_toss_ups.png

"We've out-mobilized them; we've out-recruited them; we've outraised them to a shameful extent. They're desperate," she said.

Who are "they" exactly?

Friend -- You can't hold your breath and wait to see who wins the Senate.

It's too close for that. We need your help immediately.

I'll put it frankly: If we lose these midterm elections, we'll just see more obstruction, more lawsuits and talk about impeachment, and more votes to repeal the Affordable Care Act or even shut down the government.

Impeachment?

Will you pitch in before midnight to keep the Senate in Democratic hands so we can keep moving this country forward? Remember: All gifts will be triple-matched and put to work on the ground immediately.

Thank you,

Michelle Obama

Posted by JohnGalt at 3:17 PM | Comments (0)

September 26, 2014

Today in Pragmatic GOP Politics

Did'ja see this?

Milton Wolf, the tea party candidate who battled Sen. Pat Roberts in a bitter Republican primary fight, is considering some political payback: Endorsing Kansas independent Greg Orman, sources said Thursday night.

But there's a big catch: To win Wolf's endorsement, Orman must first agree to caucus with the Senate GOP if he were to defeat Roberts in the general election.


Interesting. My default reaction is celebrating the team player -- compete in the primary, cooperate in the general. I know nothing about Mr. Orman but Senator Roberts leaves much room for disaffection.

Hat-tip: Insty who says "Oh, please don't"

UPDATE: Dr. Wolf calls "Shenanigans:"

Posted by John Kranz at 1:12 PM | Comments (0)

September 11, 2014

But, I'm a Udall -- We Don't Have To!


For the first time in CBS4 history, an incumbent US Senator has declined to debate his opponent live on our air.

Posted by John Kranz at 10:21 AM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

Udall is actually doing Gardner a favor because a televised debate would allow voters to see that the horns on top of Gardner's head in Udall's political ads are, in fact, real.

And when Udall, err, Gardner talked about abortion and birth control every time he opened his mouth, even when asked about other issues that actually matter to voters, that would just look really bad for Udall, err, Gardner. Sorry, Freudian slip.

And beyond that, Udall's positions and rhetorical skill are just so far superior to those of REPUBLICAN Cory Gardner that he would just crush the woman-hating, misogynistic, anti-woman, abortion felonizing, male chauvinist Republican.

Posted by: johngalt at September 11, 2014 11:18 AM

September 9, 2014

And a Headline of the Day

It's not even nine:

Planned Parenthood Wants to Limit Women's Access to Birth Control to Save Obamacare

Case-in-point. Colorado Republican Congressman and U.S. Senate Candidate Cory Gardner has suggested birth control pills should be over-the-counter as part of his campaign platform and stance on women's health. Instead of applauding Gardner's approach, which would greatly expand women's access to birth control, Planned Parenthood has come out against him. The justification? Obamacare and government dependence for women is better.

Posted by John Kranz at 10:46 AM | Comments (0)

August 28, 2014

Send Those Residuals to "JK c/o ThreeSources..."

udall_tooextreme.jpg

Posted by John Kranz at 3:11 PM | Comments (0)

August 22, 2014

New Cory Gardner Slogan

My darling bride should write campaign ads. This morning, watching a Mark Udall ad she blurts: "If you like your ObamaCare, you can keep your Obamacare -- vote for Mark Udall! I'm Cory Gardner and I approved..."

Erhmigawd, that's inspired!

Meanwhile, back in the Centennial State, it looks like partly cloudy with a 99% chance of more cancellations

The Colorado Division of Insurance has reported that there were about 2,100 health-plan cancellations in the state over the past two months, bringing this year's total to more than 6,150.

The division reported the figures for June 15-Aug. 15 to Senate Minority Leader Bill Cadman last week. Senate Republicans have requested monthly on the numbers.

Since 2013, there have been about 340,000 policy cancelations in Colorado. Many customers received notices last fall as the Affordable Care Act was rolling out.

Posted by John Kranz at 11:15 AM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

Heh. I just posted this to his wall. :)

Posted by: johngalt at August 22, 2014 12:55 PM

August 21, 2014

Umm, What's Second Prize?

lunchwithliz.jpg

If you must click....

Posted by John Kranz at 5:21 PM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

Why only two?

F*&#ing elitist one-percenters.

Posted by: johngalt at August 21, 2014 5:52 PM

August 16, 2014

Form your own Headline

You have the words: Udall, Spox, Lie, Whopper, and 30 seconds. Go!

The winner is: DAMAGE CONTROL: Udall’s Top Spox Tells Whopper Of Lie

Is it time for Sen. Mark Udall to add another press person? One would think between the three he already has, they wouldn't commit the kind of mistakes you would expect from a dog catcher's campaign. Today, in a completely epic fail, Udall's spokesman Chris Harris, a Kansas City via Washington D.C. transplant unleashed this blatant lie:
.@CoryGardnerCO voted AGAINST bill to re-open government that included $450 million for flood relief. http://t.co/JWdg86ABwA #copolitics

-- Chris Harris (@chris_p_harris) August 15, 2014


The problem is that Gardner not only voted for that bill, but he was also one of the major advocates pushing it. Udall even praised Gardner in a press release on the bill. Don't worry PeakNation™, plenty of screenshots out there of this one just in case Harris wants to go back and delete his boneheaded, blatant lie.

I don't know that this is the worst lie of the campaign, but I will suggest that Sen. Udall's three press persons' time would be better sent fabricating a record for their boss than for his opponent.

Posted by John Kranz at 2:56 PM | Comments (0)

August 6, 2014

Front Lines

Oh, to own a TV station in the Centennial State, that's the life for me. Rep. Cory Gardner (R - TV Star) is in every commercial. In Sen. Udall's, he is dark and grainy, moving in stroboscopic slow motion to rob the state of its ladyparts. In his, he is enjoying the clean mountain air with his cute daughter -- in Technicolor.

ThreeSourcers are used to my hyperbole. Clearly not every TV commercial in August is about the senate race. Some are about fracking.

The WSJ Ed Page sees capitulation as Colorado Democrats seek to disassociate themselves with the destruction of energy jobs without antagonizing their wealthy environmental base.

How worried are Democrats about the November election? Look no further than Colorado, where this week they leaned on their green supporters to mute their anti-natural gas drilling agenda that is proving to be unpopular even in a liberal-trending state.

Democratic Congressman and environmental activist Jared Polis on Monday announced--through gritted teeth--that he is withdrawing his support for two ballot initiatives that would have effectively halted the drilling technique known as hydraulic oil- and gas fracturing in the state. Mr. Polis has poured millions of dollars of his own cash to promote the measures, which the anti-fracking left has advertised as a national showdown over natural gas.

Yet Mr. Polis now says he'll settle for a blue-ribbon commission to study the issue, a walk-back that puts partisan interests above his green principles. Will he now be excommunicated from the church of global warming?


As Johnny Cash says "It's gonna be just gorgeous!"

UPDATE: Denver Post: Jared Polis gets an earful at townhall meeting.

Standing in the middle of a dense, frenzied huddle, Polis said he remains steadfast in his opposition to fracking close to homes, but that the timing was off in this instance.

"I stepped into a void and tried to move the issue forward. Next time we do this, it'll be a people-powered initiative," he said.

As the crowd chanted: "We are unstoppable. Another world is possible," "We don't need you, Jared Polis" and "Count the signatures now," Polis promised he'd try to organize a national summit to give them greater voice.


Posted by John Kranz at 10:02 AM | Comments (0)

July 19, 2014

Quote of the Day

The 2014 midterm elections are shaping up to be similar to the wave elections of 1994 and 2010, particularly with an unpopular President and an unpopular piece of major legislation that will serve as a referendum on the sitting President. . . . A difficult political climate coupled with the rising unpopularity of President Obama could affect the Democratic brand as a whole and hurt Senator Warner.
What right wing wackos are putting out this nonsense? Oh:
The Virginia Progress PAC, a Democratic committee supporting Senator Mark Warner, issued a list of talking points for potential donors that laid out the challenge the Obama albatross represents for Democrats this fall -- John Fund
Posted by John Kranz at 11:57 AM | Comments (0)

July 2, 2014

It Is On.

Burwell v Hobby Lobby Stores and its effect on Colorado Politics. A very good story, featuring HOSS David Kopel from DU Law School and the Independence Institute.

Over the counter? You mean, women would still have to, like, pay for it?

UPDATE: Embed code is funky, click the link.

Posted by John Kranz at 7:25 PM | Comments (3)
But johngalt thinks:

A sad situation when a report as slanted as this one can be called "very good." Yeah, I guess they didn't actually come out and say "Cory Gardner is a liar, don't vote for him."

Posted by: johngalt at July 3, 2014 12:28 PM
But jk thinks:

I grade on a curve... Watching it again, I was suggesting that the reporting on Burwell v Hobby Lobby was fair. Sen. Udall certainly gets a softer glove in the summation.

Posted by: jk at July 3, 2014 1:04 PM
But johngalt thinks:

Regarding Cory's OTC push for the pill, he's thought of the "yeah, but what if they can't afford it" argument and suggested a legislative fix to make it free for "low-income, homeless indigent folks [to] have access to their" birth control "their medicine" or, as Berkeley now does, "to their medical marijuana."

ACCESS TO MEDICAL MARIJUANA IS A CIVIL RIGHT!

Posted by: johngalt at July 3, 2014 1:18 PM

June 19, 2014

All Hail the Evil Koch Brothers!

Hat-tip: The Hill

Posted by John Kranz at 7:28 PM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

Brilliant!

Posted by: johngalt at June 20, 2014 4:14 PM

Hickenlooper Gun Ban Denial Goes Horribly Wrong!

I like the old-fashioned ways of politics better, where they actually got creative in their prevarication. The lies we're told today are so phony, so obviously transparent, it takes all the fun out of exposing them. But I will say we rarely get to see the unvarnished gut reaction when a politician is caught red handed in an outright lie. Full stop period. Like this:

"How many apologies do you want? What the f***!"

Only one for each lie, governor.

HT: Westword Blog post.

Posted by JohnGalt at 2:34 PM | Comments (1)
But jk thinks:

Sadly, he lost Mayor Bloomberg's emails when his hard drive crashed -- I guess we'll never know.

Posted by: jk at June 20, 2014 12:12 PM

June 12, 2014

About more than immigration...

Feeling better... James Freeman of the WSJ Ed Page "takes a closer look:" (Wait, is that what Blog Brother jg asked me to do?)

As a Journal editorial notes, Mr. Brat "ran against Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac which is the Lord's work, as well as the farm and flood insurance bills that Mr. Cantor guided through the House this year. To the extent his victory warns the GOP to disavow crony capitalism, Mr. Brat has done a public service." Mr. Brat also attacked the Majority Leader for his support of the TARP bank bailouts, Medicare expansion and various spending bills.

And Mr. Brat managed to pull off his upset without support from any of the big Washington-based groups that have sought to appropriate the Tea Party brand. What's also noteworthy about this tale of an insurgent defeating the establishment candidate is that the 7th district is in many ways the home of the establishment. While the district includes some rural towns, it largely covers the affluent areas around Richmond populated by white-collar professionals.

Posted by John Kranz at 10:25 AM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:
The GOP's new nominee in the Virginia 7th district is socially conservative with a strong libertarian streak and a healthy admiration for Ronald Reagan's "peace through strength" policies for national defense. As always, that appears to describe the winning Republican coalition.

The Council on Foreign Relations could not be reached for comment.

Posted by: johngalt at June 12, 2014 3:24 PM

June 11, 2014

Cantormageddon

First: Wow. Didn't see that coming.

Second: I have read some pretty good (and some bad) commentary. Peter Suderman at Reason provides a balanced look at four reasons VA-7 may have given its favored son the heave-ho.

But it is hard to contradict Jim Geraghty's terse summary:

Take a victory lap, Mickey Kaus, Mark Levin, Laura Ingraham.

Kaus, at least, is tuirnung donuts it the parking lot. Insty has linked to him about 147 times since the exit polls trickled out last night.

Perhaps I am too pragmatic to be a 'bagger. I read that Professor Brat is a sharp, eloquent, and principled defender of small government. So. Yay.

But the advertisements linked Rep. Cantor to President Obama and "Amnesty." If there is one word I'd love to never hear again, it is of course "Obama." (See what I did there?) But if I get two, the second is certainly "Amnesty." Amnesty is the "bloody shirt" of the immigration debate. I can take immigration opponents seriously until they use that word. Then, they've lost me.

Meanwhile, Sen. Lindsey Graham (TeeVeeStar - SC) cruises to victory in the Palmetto State. I would love to see a principled lover of liberty prevail there. Against Cantor? Not so much.

A sports metaphor, scarecrow? We've just traded a really good Left Tackle because he couldn't throw 60 yard spirals. But try and throw one with JJ Watt standing on your head.

Tea Partiers are happy, I guess I am not one after all.

UPDATE:

UPDATE II: Corrected District number: was VA-11 should be VA-7

Posted by John Kranz at 1:20 PM | Comments (10)
But jk thinks:

"We are the Knights who say 'Amnestee!'"

The Prosperitarian in me says it will fuel growth. The Administration is sworn to smother any economic life with taxes and regulations -- here's a "compromise-worthy" task that might both be positive for the economy and happen while that-other-word-guy is living in the White House.

The Pragmatist in me says it would be electorally advantageous not to be they guys telling 30-something percent of the voting public that we're going to build an 27' barbed-wire electric fence to keep you guys out.

Fears of Obama's (I said it) discretionary enforcement are well founded. I am such a Ricardian Sop, I don't care, If we trade more H1-Bs for more enforcement and don't get the enforcement, I have not been baited=-and-switched. I would meet my opponents halfway on that and try to structure some mechanisms to address their concerns -- but only if they stop calling it "Amnesty."

Waiting three years for the workers we need to grow is like waiting three years for Keystone XL. Well, yeah, if we have to -- but why?

Posted by: jk at June 11, 2014 6:08 PM
But johngalt thinks:

Workers we "need" to grow? Have you looked at the labor participation rate lately? The recovery has made the decision, to stay away, not the workers. It would have taken a bilge pump far bigger than this to stop the sinking of the Titanic. That's your "why."

Posted by: johngalt at June 11, 2014 7:04 PM
But johngalt thinks:

Readers might be interested in CU Boulder visiting conservative scholar Steven Hayward's view on immigration reform, found in his Powerline Blog post today - After Cantor:

I think there’s some room for reasonable changes in our immigration practices—I rather like the idea of an auction system, favoring people who would bring valuable assets or skills to the country—but the time is not now. The Democrats are operating from bad faith, looking only to sign up more Democratic voters, and Republicans have been operating from massive confusion married to bad motives.
Posted by: johngalt at June 11, 2014 10:41 PM
But jk thinks:

I like the line which preceded your excerpt: "(Or as I put it on Twitter: 'What's the difference between Elvis and immigration reform in Congress? Immigration reform is definitely dead.')"

Not sure I agree that capricious enforcement of a reform bill will be any worse that capricious enforcement of current law.

And, yes, we need immigrants. North Dakota Walmart*s are starting people at $17.10, unemployment is ~2% -- that is what growth an prosperity provide. More workers/entrepreneurs/customers fuels growth.

Posted by: jk at June 12, 2014 1:50 PM
But jk thinks:

I like the line which preceded your excerpt: "(Or as I put it on Twitter: 'What's the difference between Elvis and immigration reform in Congress? Immigration reform is definitely dead.')"

Not sure I agree that capricious enforcement of a reform bill will be any worse that capricious enforcement of current law.

And, yes, we need immigrants. North Dakota Walmart*s are starting people at $17.10, unemployment is ~2% -- that is what growth an prosperity provide. More workers/entrepreneurs/customers fuels growth.

Posted by: jk at June 12, 2014 1:50 PM
But johngalt thinks:

Don't mind you having the last word but just as there are jobs that "Americans won't do" there are also jobs that "Mexicans won't do" - any job north of Cheyenne. North Dakota will have to look somewhere else to stem their labor shortage. Hey, maybe start a rumor about a gold rush or some such.

Posted by: johngalt at June 12, 2014 3:04 PM

June 5, 2014

-- And Bailing Out Students

Enumerating Sen. Mark Udall's platforms for re-election, I left one out:

udall_studentloan.jpg

Other people's money. That will, sadly, be popular in Colorado.

Posted by John Kranz at 7:13 PM | Comments (0)

Quote of the Day

"We have to quit putting out fires," said one Democratic senator, who asked not to be named in talking candidly about internal party views of the White House. -- NYTimes (via Taranto)
Posted by John Kranz at 6:40 PM | Comments (0)

Democratic solutions to inequality - an analogy

If the Democratic meme of "income inequality" were applied to medicine, this is how it would work:

Supposed you break your arm and take it to a doctor for fixing. Using "inequality" logic, the doctor would first provide aspirin for "immediate relief." Then the doctor would go to the next patient and break his arm. Nothing would be fixed, but everyone would be equal.

Using free market logic, the arm would be set and immobilized until it healed. This solution would be neither pain-free nor immediate, but would eventually result in having two good arms.

Posted by Boulder Refugee at 5:32 PM | Comments (4)
But johngalt thinks:

Hmmm. Yeah, I see. Fortunately we have Hippocrates, and his ancient oath to protect us from mistreatment by physicians.

How do we go about getting that applied to government?

Posted by: johngalt at June 5, 2014 6:48 PM
But jk thinks:

Harrison Bergeron, call your office!

Posted by: jk at June 5, 2014 7:20 PM
But AndyN thinks:

Good point, JG. If only we had some established, codified set of principles that government officials could be required to swear an oath to uphold.

Posted by: AndyN at June 5, 2014 8:19 PM
But johngalt thinks:

Man would THAT be cool!

Posted by: johngalt at June 5, 2014 9:20 PM

Three Cheers for the ACLU!

They do get it right now and then: Skokie in 1978, and "Campaign Finance Reform" today.

Democrats pushing for a constitutional amendment that would give government the authority to regulate political spending by outside groups will do so without one traditional ally at their side.

In a letter submitted Tuesday to the Senate Judiciary Committee, the American Civil Liberties Union expressed opposition to the amendment, saying it would "lead directly to government censorship of political speech and result in a host of unintended consequences that would undermine the goals the amendment has been introduced to advance."


My buddy and Senator, Mark Udall (Daddy's - CO) looks to be betting the farm on three issues that are hard sells in Colorado:

GUN CONTROL

Democrat incumbent Sen. Mark Udall (Colo.) will receive support from an out-of-state gun control group in his reelection campaign, after backing stricter gun laws in the past.

Americans for Responsible Solutions, the group founded by former Rep. Gabby Giffords and her husband Mark Kelly, has raised more than $15 million in support of candidates like Udall, who wants a return of the assault weapons ban. The group wants to limit gun owners to 10-bullet magazines, and to "examine" America's "glorification of violence."


CLIMATE CHANGE
Energy once again is dominating Colorado's U.S. Senate race with the announcement that climate change guru Tom Steyer is tapping his fortune to make sure Democrat Mark Udall wins another term.

Steyer, a retired hedge fund manager from California billed as a "green billionaire," founded NextGen Climate Action. He said Thursday he is donating $50 million to the super PAC to target seven Democrat races nationwide, including Udall's, and the group is expected to raise at least another $50 million.


Very important on Facebook that people sign Sen. Udall's petition demanding that Cory Gardner accept climate change. Umm, Yeah!!! Sure. I guess...

THE AMENDMENT THINGY

Looking for issues to push in this year's congressional elections, Senate Democrats are proposing a constitutional amendment that would enable government at the federal and state levels alike to heavily regulate campaign contributions and expenditures. The effort is driven by the Democrats' intense disagreement with Supreme Court decisions on campaign finance. The amendment likely will fail, as it certainly should. As in so many areas of governance these days, liberty--here the freedom of speech protected by the First Amendment--is at stake.

The third peg was his Amendment overturning The First Amendment Citizens United v. FEC.

All of these have some traction in "Purple" Colorado. But Democrats get elected as "moderates" and, while Udall's new allies have deep pockets, they will be easy targets for attacks as -- excuse me, but I must -- "Too Extreme for Colorado!". The ALCU's demurring now removes any legitimacy the Amendment may have had.

I guess he'll have to ruin on his support for ObamaCare®!

Posted by John Kranz at 2:38 PM | Comments (0)

May 29, 2014

YEAH!!!

Bloody Republicans!!

handsoffhealthcare.jpg

Posted by John Kranz at 5:37 PM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

Where do I sign? Politicians need to be punished whenever they interfere with Americans' healthcare!

I just can't figure out why the Democratic Party is sponsoring FB posts that quote the GOP and parrot their #1 campaign meme.

Posted by: johngalt at May 29, 2014 7:01 PM

May 28, 2014

Club for Growth Action is Responsible for the Content...

Heh.

Posted by John Kranz at 2:27 PM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

Mondo!

Posted by: johngalt at May 28, 2014 3:05 PM

May 22, 2014

Log Cabin Republicans

Go All Robin Leach on Rep. Jared Polis.

Posted by John Kranz at 4:53 PM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

Heard this on air a couple of times. Hope to hear it more. It's well done. Doesn't sound like a political ad at the beginning.

Gotta have a little fun though with my morning drive host who said "Log Cabin Republicans came out with a new ad..." Snort.

Posted by: johngalt at May 23, 2014 11:12 AM

April 24, 2014

Oh Noes! Trouble for Sen Udall?

Alyssa Finley: Bad News for Colorado's Udall

Democrats are taking cold comfort in a New York Times/Kaiser Family Foundation poll this week that finds Senate Democrats leading Republican challengers in pivotal southern states with double-digit spreads in Arkansas and Louisiana. Meantime, a couple of new polls suggest that Colorado Democrat Mark Udall could be in serious trouble.

First, a word on the Times poll: The survey does not reflect likely voting. Nearly a third of the respondents in Arkansas didn't vote in 2012. Nor did a quarter of those in Louisiana and 21% in North Carolina. Among those who reported voting, President Obama was favored 31-28 over Mitt Romney in Louisiana and 38-31 in North Carolina. The president lost Louisiana by 17 points and North Carolina by two. Democratic Senators are likely to lead the unpopular president, but probably not by the 41 points that the poll suggests in Louisiana.
[...]
A new PPP survey has Mr. Udall leading by a mere two points, while an internal survey for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce shows Republican Rep. Cory Gardner up by two among likely voters. According to the Chamber's survey, six in 10 voters oppose ObamaCare and 55% view President Obama unfavorably. Roll Call prognosticator Stu Rothenberg said on CNN's "State of the Union" this week that Mr. Gardner could pull off an upset.

Not surprisingly, Democrats' strategy to counteract ObamaCare liability is to wage a "war on women" campaign against Mr. Gardner. On Wednesday, the incumbent released its first TV ad, which denounces his Republican challenger for sponsoring a bill to make abortion a felony and undertaking a "quest to outlaw birth control."


Too bad.

Posted by John Kranz at 6:58 PM | Comments (0)

April 23, 2014

Really?

Maybe there is hope:

Hat-tip: Hot-Air

Posted by John Kranz at 6:56 PM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

I wondered what position Land has taken that gives the Dems this opening so I looked a little closer and found, she actually had the temerity to not only "support the RNC Platform" in 2012 but she said nothing when Mike Huckabee said he supports a Personhood law. There you go, she obviously believes pregnant women should be jailed until they give birth and should not be able to use the pill.

Posted by: johngalt at April 25, 2014 11:53 AM

April 18, 2014

Everybody thinks he's Nate Silver

Michael Medved has a guest editorial in the WSJ today. He claims -- music to ThreeSourcers -- that "The War on Women" was not successful in 2012

A closer look at the numbers reveals that Mr. Obama's success with the ladies actually stemmed from his well-known appeal to minority voters. In 2012, 72% of all women voters identified themselves as "white." This subset preferred Mitt Romney by a crushing 14-point advantage, 56% to 42%. Though Democrats ratcheted up the women's rhetoric in the run-up to Election Day, the party did poorly among the white women it sought to influence: The Republican advantage in this crucial segment of the electorate doubled to 14 points in 2012 from seven points in 2008. In the race against Mr. Romney, Obama carried the overall female vote--and with it the election--based solely on his success with the 28% of women voters who identified as nonwhite. He carried 76% of Latina women and a startling 96% of black women.

I'm not going to ask the lovely bride to bring me my slippers so we can pop the champagne corks just yet. I think Medved is abusing statistics. The differential among female voters is interesting but not conclusive. You don't have to be "Pajama Boy" to be repelled by a perception of "troglodytery;" I wince at #WaronWomen because I see its being effective among my Facebook friends -- and I could even see its working on me were I not both connected and deeply committed to other issues.

I don't wince at the stupid, over the top attack ads: just the ones that look like they'd work. But to measure efficacy only by the female vote seems short-sided.

Posted by John Kranz at 10:41 AM | Comments (0)

April 17, 2014

Man of the People

#WarOnWomen update, courtesy of the WSJ Ed Page. Of course the Administration's outright lies rhetoric fires up the impressionable young ladies for the midterms (bless their pea-pickin' little hearts...) But that is not all.

Second, the Paycheck Fairness Act would reward one of the Democrats' most generous sources of ready cash: wealthy personal-injury lawyers.

Consider John Eddie Williams and his wife Sheridan, the hosts of the president's Houston fundraiser where 55 guests paid between $16,000 and $64,000 to the Democratic Senatorial and Congressional Campaign Committees. Mr. Williams got rich by suing tobacco and drug companies. The dinner was held at the couple's 26,463-square-foot mansion, complete with five full baths, seven half baths, five fireplaces and an elevator. It is carried on the tax rolls at $17.1 million.

The same day as his Houston fundraiser, Mr. Obama also attended a roundtable with 25 donors at the mansion of Steve and Amber Mostyn. Mr. Mostyn is president of the Texas Trial Lawyers Association and made $150 million from lawsuits over hurricane insurance. He vows to spend $10 million this year to help Mr. Obama's national campaign field director, Jeremy Bird, to "turn Texas blue," changing the Lone Star State from reliably Republican to comfortably Democratic, starting with this fall's gubernatorial election.


The days of female tort lawyers making $77 Million for every $100 Million of their male counterparts is soon to be tossed into the ashbin of history!

UPDATE: This is from a guest editorial by Karl Rove.

Posted by John Kranz at 10:26 AM | Comments (1)
But johngalt thinks:

Someone should sue.

Posted by: johngalt at April 18, 2014 11:43 AM

April 16, 2014

Quote of the Day

"We have this congenital disease, which is in midterm elections we don't vote at the same rates," President Obama said at a Houston fundraiser the other day. He means that the Obama Democrats are now what they call the "coalition of the ascendant," made up of minorities, young people, single women and affluent, college-educated cultural liberals. The problem is that this year they may be a coalition of the disappointed, so Democrats are trying to scare them to the polls with pseudo-controversies. -- WSJ Ed Page
Posted by John Kranz at 11:40 AM | Comments (0)

March 24, 2014

War on Women!

Ehrmigawd -- stop those wascally wepulicans!

Bennett_waronwomen.jpg

Posted by John Kranz at 4:21 PM | Comments (0)

March 22, 2014

"War on Women" 2014 Colorado Edition

While in full-blown gloat mode over the Affordable Care Act electoral distress facing Democrats in this midterm election, blog brother jk reminded [sixth comment] "There is a personhood amendment in his past" about GOP senate hopeful Cory Gardner. Gardner, on Friday, sought to disarm that line of attack. Lynn Bartels reports in the Denver Post.

He said that after learning more about the measures, which would have had the impact of outlawing abortion, he realized the proposals also could ban certain forms of contraception, a prohibition he does not support.

"This was a bad idea driven by good intentions," he told The Denver Post. "I was not right. I can't support personhood now. I can't support personhood going forward. To do it again would be a mistake."

The Udall campaign isn't buying it, of course, saying,

"Coloradans will see through this cheap election-year stunt," Harris said. "Gardner is showing a profound lack of respect for Colorado voters. Coloradans want a senator who always promotes and protects women's health, not one who simply pretends to during election years."

But Gardner cites the hypocrisy of that charge:

But he pointed to Udall, who in a 2012 opinion piece in Politico explained how his views had changed to the point where he supported marriage for same-sex couples.

"It was perhaps best said by Mark Udall, who said a good-faith re-examination of a position you've held in the past should be seen as a virtue, not a vice," Gardner said.

All told a fairly well balanced piece by Denver Post's Lynn Bartels, except that she closed with a detailed retelling of the "Personhood" history, including videotape.

Personally I support so-called Personhood laws for unborn babies, but only to criminalize harm done to them by individuals other than their mother, or her doctor. But the prohibition crowd will definitely try to expand them to include those cases.

Posted by JohnGalt at 5:22 PM | Comments (0)

March 14, 2014

War on Reason

Gotta give some points for Chutzpah:

Benneet__chutzpah.jpg

Click here to sign.

This is why I despair. With a straight face, the creators of ObamaCare claim they are preserving women "making their own health care decisions." Democracy has some famous structural defects, but I don't see self rule's working in any form without some underpinnings of objective truth.

Posted by John Kranz at 10:29 AM | Comments (3)
But johngalt thinks:

This is taking advantage of the decline in Americans' ability to use reason, not an attack on reason itself. It can't exist in the presence of reason. The argument doesn't defeat reason, but rather dances on its grave.

Bill O'Reilly did something comparable last night, and I paraphrase:

I support a rise in the minimum wage. People should earn $10 per hour, but I'm opposed to overtime laws because government just shouldn't try to micromanage the private economy.

Hypocrisy much?

Facepalm.

Posted by: johngalt at March 14, 2014 11:38 AM
But johngalt thinks:

Just followed the link, hoping there was a comment section where I could write, "Is 'women should make their own health care decisions' the reason why President Obama keeps delaying the implementation of Obamacare?"

Instead, all I found was the line:

Women in America do not need the government, or their employers, making their health care decisions for them.

What about the eevil health insurance companies whom the Obamacare "exchange" website is a front for?

Posted by: johngalt at March 14, 2014 12:00 PM
But jk thinks:

I do not know how many ThreeSourcers have heard the grisly news, but Larry Kudlow will be retiring at the end of this month. He will stay on CNBC as a Senior Advisor or such, but his nine year run (and the fabulous Kudlow & Cramer before) is coming to an end.

I guess I have The Independents, but I really do not know where I will replace the news and business news input I get from Larry. Neil Cavuto on FOX Business is a fellow-MS patient and right-of-center guy in a similar aegis. While there is only one Larry, I might try Neil for a bit.

. . . and wait for the segue . . . one thing I do like about Cavuto is an almost constant torqueing of O'Reilly at his sister network. He has a very funny ongoing schtick "what are you gonna do? Watch O'Reilly?" That may tide me over.

Posted by: jk at March 14, 2014 12:58 PM

War on Women

Thanks for the thoughtful replies. I am still concerned that War on Women and Too Extreme for Colorado will move low information voters.

OTOH, this is pretty good:

Don't know if everybody saw this story, but "Fact Checkers" came after Ms. Boonstra. I guess that's what the WaPo does now: lines up with an insurance company against a cancer patient.

Posted by John Kranz at 9:59 AM | Comments (2)
But johngalt thinks:

Alex Sink must've forgotten to use those strategies in FL-13. Or not.

Posted by: johngalt at March 14, 2014 12:29 PM
But johngalt thinks:

Heh. Takes one to know one.

Posted by: johngalt at March 14, 2014 12:32 PM