January 31, 2007Grace, Beauty and IntelligenceThe folks over at NeverYetMelted Blog made me aware of some good horse riding video. The video is of: Andreas Helgstrand of Denmark riding the Danish Warmblood mare Blue Hors Matiné [turning] in a spectacular performance in Freestyle Dressage at the 2006 World Equestrian Games (WEG) at Aachen.
But Terri thinks:
Beautiful! I loved the hug at the end! Posted by: Terri at February 1, 2007 10:55 AM
But jk thinks:
Wow. When it started, I wasn't sure I'd enjoy it (the guy's hat frightened me) but that is truly beautiful. Also a great long-tail (I'm trying to avoid puns) example: this is perfect for YouTube. It deserves to be seen, but it's hard to think of another medium that would package or carry it. Posted by: jk at February 1, 2007 11:26 AMThe State of the EconomyThe White House released a report called the State of the Economy, which, if you've ignoring the media, you know is pretty damned fine. Here's an image I found interesting. There are more people employed in this country than ever before.
Read a summary at Powerline.
But jk thinks:
Lotta graphs look like that, that's why they're running for the arguments the Sen. Webb/Paul Krugman claims that Alan Reynolds debunks: the poor are stagnating, the middle class is shrinking, all the gains are going to the top wage earners. Reynolds provides a book full of great debunking using a lot of statistical analysis. One of my favorites is a throwaway in the last chapter. If I may paraphrase, imagine everybody's wages double tomorrow. Well the gap between the rich and the poor would (divide by seven, carry the one...) double. While Paul Krugman would pen a tearful column on wage disparity, everybody else with the 100% raise would head to the mall.
But Terri thinks:
Now THAT is a good analogy JK. I have every intention of stealing it for my next conversation on wage disparity! Thanks. Posted by: Terri at January 31, 2007 6:54 PMWhere's my Fake ID?I reuse a stupid joke. I tell my friends that I am looking for my old fake IDs I used to use to buy beer -- because now I'll get the Senior Discount at Denny's. (It's much better when I tell it...) I think I might be in the market for a fake ID, if a great idea by Economist James D. Miller could catch hold. Miller writes in TCS Daily that it's time to "Free the Elderly." Consider a 90-year-old man suffering from severe kidney disease. He would like to take an experimental drug, but his doctor can't get him in on the clinical trials. As a result, the man must wait nine more years until the drug is approved by the FDA. Unfortunately, this man's advanced age means he has only a slight chance of living another nine years. He links to an article by Gary Becker (where have I heard that name around ThreeSources?) that suggests weakening FDA restrictions as the answer to rising pharmaceutical prices. Becker suggest that the FDA should test for basic safety and let the medical community sort out efficacy concerns. This would bring drugs to market quicker and more cheaply, giving the developer a revenue stream and additional testing. I'm not elderly nor terminal but if MS is cured tomorrow, it's pretty unlikely that I would get the treatment before I die. Our government does a lot of stupid things, but making it illegal for a drug company to sell medicine to a dying person rises to the top of the list for me. Pharmaceuticals
Posted by jk at 1:58 PM
About Those Tax CutsAlex brings us a great post about Tax Cut Myths and Facts. Gee, do you think that the 2002 and 2003 could be related to Larry Kudlow's chart of GDP growth?
Posted by jk at 12:45 PM
Becker & Posner on Health CareI'll shill for the The Becker-Posner Blog one more time. Two professors at Chicago University weigh in with a serious look at a topic. This week they discuss President Bush's Health Care initiatives. In thinking about reforms it is crucial to recognize that the American system has many strong features that should be preserved, such as the predominant role of private physicians, private hospitals, and private HMO's that compete against each other for patients and health care dollars. I won't excerpt much because the beauty of these is their completeness. Without being long winded, both Professor Becker and Judge Posner provide comprehensive -- and frequently counterintuitive -- looks. Neither of them take the uninsured as a serious issue. Americans without health insurance is the "Global Warming" of sociology. We've been forced to accept it as a serious issue from brute inculcation. Posner's comment agrees about the uninsured. The fact that millions of people have no health insurance does not strike me as a social problem. It is true that they are free riders, but so to a considerable degree are the insured, since their premiums don't vary much or at all with how much health care they obtain. As Becker points out, the quality and conditions of charity medical treatment (such as long queues in emergency rooms) discourage overuse of "free" medical care--it isn't really free, because the nonpecuniary costs are substantial; among those costs are the fear and discomfort associated with medical treatment. Posner also has an innovative solution that you won't hear a lot on the campaign trail: The best, though politically unattainable, reform would be to abolish Medicare, brutal as the suggestion sounds. Then people would purchase catastrophic or other medical insurance for their old age, or depend like the young on charity. If it were thought "unfair" to make elderly people of limited means pay for their entire costs of health care, there could be a subsidy, but it should be means-tested, unlike Medicare. Why taxpayers should pay the medical expenses of affluent oldsters, of whom there are a great number, is an abiding mystery, at least from an ethical as distinct from a political standpoint. Read both whole things. Economics and Markets
Posted by jk at 11:33 AM
SourcingThis is certainly good news... In a landmark ruling in favor of bloggers and cyber journalists, a Santa Clara County Court defended the First Amendment rights of online journalists to protect their confidential sources, effectively giving web journalists the same protections afforded to traditional print journalists. It's in a California court, so depending on where you are, your mileage will vary, but promising nevertheless. (tip to Patterico) Media and Blogging
Posted by AlexC at 11:14 AM
Tax Cut Myths and FactsMyth #1: Tax revenues remain low. Fact: Tax revenues are above the historical average, even after the tax cuts. More at the Heritage Foundation.... (tip to Club for Growth)
But TrekMedic251 thinks:
Myth: I didn't pay any attention to this post. Fact: I will cross-post it tomorrow. Posted by: TrekMedic251 at February 1, 2007 10:48 PMModern Math "Education"There is a good video on YouTube which shows how math is "taught" in some modern schools: the anti-conceptual way. Watch the video, then just imagine the fun and cognitive clarity which must ensue when students get to algebra, and work on quadratics or cubics. (OK, it's really "pain and cognitive dissonance.") Here's how I (and probably you) learned to solve this. Factor it out: There are other anti-conceptual methods used specially for "teaching" algebra and geometry.
But jk thinks:
I have heard so many horror stories about math curricula, Cyrano, that I truly expected to be horrified. I read about a test question "if math were a color, what color would it be?" The terc (sp?) method codifies how I would solve any of those problems. If I have to grab paper, I'll grab a calculator. That method lends itself to solving 133/6 in your head. I'll agree that teaching traditional long division and multiplication is valuable. What separates people who "do math" from those that don't is the more abstract relationship with numbers. I don't know that this would teach it, but I can't say I'm horrified. (The lattice was pretty cool.) I think it's much worse that they leave this Math class and go to a science class where they're taught recycling, then onto social studies where they learn how cruel white settlers were to the indigenous peoples. January 30, 200724In a comment thread at Samizdata on Diana Krall, I suggested "let's get back to religion and politics before an all out flamewar ensues." Perhaps I should practice what I preach. I will promise the Baurophiles around here that I will continue watching the show through this entire season. I like it, but -- even if I did not -- I would watch it so that I could continue to enjoy Lileks's next day synopses. From today's: UPDATE: We have found the country’s sole hot female Muslim Republican! And she’s hampered by the rules put in place by a paranoid Democratic administration! Man, politics are just ruining this show.
Posted by jk at 6:06 PM
Two Americas, Nine BathroomsI'm heartbroken that a nice, sincere, serious man like Senator John Edwards is in such hot water over his new home. John Fund writes about the populist firebrand's new digs in OpinionJournal Political Diary: Former Senator John Edwards continues to wow crowds with his famous "Two Americas" speech, in which he knits together populist themes in a rousing call for an updated form of class warfare. The bottom line: Corporations must be curbed and the rich taxed more heavily. I think folks are making a big deal of nothing. I hear the squash court is not even regulation size... UPDATE: It's a cheap shot, but a funny cheap shot: Dean Burnett brings us a link to that YouTube of Edwards fixing his hair. You know you want to see it again, cick on over. Go ahead.
But AlexC thinks:
He's a phony... and Barnett's post nails it. Posted by: AlexC at January 31, 2007 11:15 AMJanuary 29, 2007Let's Talk.Attila, at Pillage Idiot has a new installtion of his photo-comics: Hillary begins a conversation Maxima heh.
But TrekMedic251 thinks:
OMG! ROFLMAO! (and all those other IM-type sayings). I damn near p***ed myself reading that! Posted by: TrekMedic251 at January 29, 2007 8:43 PM
But Attila (Pillage Idiot) thinks:
Thanks for the link. We aim to please, but without increasing the methane supply. Posted by: Attila (Pillage Idiot) at January 29, 2007 9:51 PM
But jk thinks:
You've had several good ones, Attila, but this one is probably my favorite. Posted by: jk at January 30, 2007 10:32 AMJack Bauer's Dilemmas--and OursTaking a short break from serious reality to discuss serious fiction... A short time back we had a short back and forth (I won't call it a debate) about the virtues of Fox Network's "24." JK asserted that the program is "about" the action scenes. I disagree, giving the writers credit for at least as much intellect and nuance as Buffy the Vampire Slayer, although without the same "hipness." WSJ's Brian Carney agrees: You don't need to watch "24" as a kind of primer on moral philosophy, but you probably should.
But Terri thinks:
I can't believe that you mentioned "24" and "Buffy the Vampire Slayer" in the same breath!! Buffy is clearly the winner when it comes nuance if only because the acting on that show was supreme. Jack and his good vs evil while I have to dabble in evil to accomplish good may be nuanced but pulease! The actors, other than Keifer are cardboard cutouts of people. I had to quit watching after season 3. Posted by: Terri at January 30, 2007 11:15 AM
But sugarchuck thinks:
First off, let me just say that I love 24 more than the next guy. Given that I live in blue to purple Minnesota, I love 24 more than most next guys, but I can't claim for a second that there is any subtle moral distinction or nuanced insight to be found. There is a venner of obnoxious Hollywood PC inserted to placate CAIR and the handfull of liberals that watch and that is it. 24 asks the question; if a bunch of raggedy ass terrorists threaten the good old USA can we hook their privates up to a Diehard, shoot 'em between the eyes, lop off their heads and use the severed noggins as bargaining chips with other raggedy ass terrorists. The answer, as my daughters would say, is "well duh...." Greatest show in the world, yup. Better than Buffy, not really. Posted by: sugarchuck at January 30, 2007 12:07 PM
But jk thinks:
Terri, welcome to ThreeSources! I am a huge Buffy fan and, although we have Firefly/Serenity fans, I'm in a minority around here. I started this, fully suspecting it would end in an all out flamewar. I had just started watching 24 this season and wondered if there were subtleties and layered meanings that I was missing (I didn't even get Sen. Kerry's "If you're stupid you go to Iraq" joke). Twenty-four is fun for its high octane pacing and unapologetic patriotism, but I find I still watch Buffies, read the lit-crit about them, and catch new nuances after more than a dozen viewings. I cannot say -- and have heard nobody really claim -- that there is that depth in 24. Posted by: jk at January 30, 2007 3:17 PM
But johngalt thinks:
Well, I clearly don't have the "Buffy appreciation" gene. I got Season One on DVD for Christmas a year ago and watched the whole thing. I had no urge to get Season Two. JK says he is "not going to be coerced to aid a terrorist plot" but do you believe the frightened father fully realized the implications of "delivering a package" for the arabic kid across the street? Being forced to do so at gunpoint would certainly tip me off but c'mon, he's not supposed to know he's in a TV drama about terrorists blowing up America. And objecting to this scenario as "unrealistic" makes me wonder what I, in turn, am supposed to think about vampires. Is 24 as good as Firefly? Yes. But 24 is put together with a wide angle lens where Firefly, like Buffy, is a close up, individual story. They both make the viewer think and I, personally, can imagine myself in any of their situations. Maybe it's the same kind of difference as that between science fiction and science fantasy that dagny and I continually debate. The important idea though from the article I posted is this (seventh paragraph): "But it is not merely a question of choosing between family and a greater good; or--in other contexts that crop up repeatedly on the show--between civil liberties and national security; or between torture and human rights. It is a failing of our politics that these kinds of questions, in the real world, are presented by both sides as either easy to answer or unnecessary to choose between--or both." Posted by: johngalt at January 30, 2007 3:19 PM
But jk thinks:
I did not know of your efforts. It is very difficult to develop Buffy appreciation by watching Season One. A couple of episodes are good (The Pack and Nightmares) but there are no standout episodes, and the show does not really find its groove until later. Better to start in the middle and find your way back. You do like Firefly. I compare Capt. Reynolds to Jack Bauer and find our beloved CTU agent comes up lacking. They both have beliefs (and I'd say both have a warning about discussions our government does not have). Mal is a deeply complex figure: tough as nails, stalwart in his beliefs, yet a mixture of real and fake bravado that is endearing. Getting into later Buffy and Angel episodes, you see Joss Whedon's chops develop to where he could do Firefly. In Buffy/Angel, he had twelve seasons to craft a coherent, consistent universe. On the scene. Wait a minute, pard'ner. In a week of terrorist acts, my friendly , neighborhood, MidEastern teenage neighbor holds my family at gunpoint, my son informs me that he has killed one of my other neighbors. I am forced to run an errand where I give A SUITCASE OF CASH to a man who says it's "not enough money." So I kill the guy with my bare hands (I guess my ATM card is in my green pair of pants) and I drive out to deliver it to another MidEastern-lookin'-fella. All during a state of heightened alert. Am I delivering the latest Abba video? A pack of JuJu-Bees? (Infidel-Infidel-Bees). That is pretty hard for me to believe. The vampires, magic, and demons are allegorical in Buffy -- it is less a matter of believing as interpreting.
But jk thinks:
And I want it noted that our beloved Randian blog brother is lobbying for "the greater good." What planet did I wake up on? :) Posted by: jk at January 30, 2007 3:59 PMFriedman vs. PlatoGame, Set, Match: Milton! I call this the Fundamental Problem of Political Economy. How do we limit the power that idiots have over us? Not too harp on the Pigovians too much, but this is my fundamental problem with punitive taxation. NOTE: The column also reminds that PBS is airing a documentary on Friedman tonight. It's received very good reviews. NOTE II: I am still forced to view TCS through a proxy (I have alerted both my ISP and TCS; both responded but neither seem too concerned). If the link does not work, click to TCS on the blogroll. UPDATE: Larry Kudlow informs that it is Milton Friedman Day -- Happy MFD!
But johngalt thinks:
But the Pigovians are verging upon claiming Friedman as one of theirs (bottom of the page). Paul Krugman and Lawrence Summers I won't dispute, but Alan Greenspan? I think I could counter every pro-Pigou thought anyone thinks Greenspan has uttered with a couple of his anti-Pigou rebuttals. Posted by: johngalt at January 30, 2007 3:25 PMSilver Lining?All the sturm und drang about energy has seemed to have no upside. Like Paul Gigot, I enjoyed Senator Grassley's giddy abandon when ethanol subsidies came up at the SOTU, but I expect government meddling and spending and interference will make things worse, not better. Maybe there is a bright spot (a glowing lump of U-235?) The Wall Street Journal reports a rush to license and build noocyoolur plants. A flood of applications seeking permission to build at least 30 reactors, primarily in the South, is expected to pour into the Nuclear Regulatory Commission beginning late this year. If built, the reactors would boost the nation's electricity supply by more than 30,000 megawatts, or 3%. A megawatt is enough to power at least 500 homes. Of course, they wouldn't have to pony up billions in subsidies if they'd establish reasonable criteria for permitting and licensing. In the end, however, I think nuclear power is our best bet for clean domestic power. Nuke plants powering plug-in hybrids could fill a lot of needs with present or near-term technology. Oil and Energy
Posted by jk at 11:09 AM
January 28, 2007PigovianI will start spelling it correctly (drop the "u"), but I am not going to sign up. The respect I have for Gregory Mankiw is not transferable to the creators of the Pigou Club website. I complained that the site was all but completely devoted to Global Warming. The graphic of the globe on a spit over an open flame says it all. The club attempts to defend itself from a "debunking" by Josh at Everyday Economist with a somewhat snide rejoinder that we can all drive Toyota Priuses. Josh defends his point well in the comments that his original post pointed out that many people have a long term commitment on their transportation or a good reason to require a larger vehicle. I'm gong to oppose the taxes broadly on philosophical grounds. The 16th Amendment gives the Federal government the power to tax income to fund the government. The Pigovians have provided more and more social engineering through the tax code ever since it was ratified, The Pigou Club's Why It Works page says it all. The tax in the third option can also be called Pigovian tax. It is what this Club is all about - taxing the activities that harm other people. In the example, the unlucky miscreant was overfishing a communal lake (being too productive, working too hard) and the classic "Commons Problem" is all put to right with government taxation. John is moderately happy because he can still catch fish and the community is also happy - the fish stocks are stable. Villagers can lower their taxes because of John’s contributions and spend the extra money any way they like. As Spike would say, "Get your Kumbuya-yas out!" Everybody's happy. I don't think they go far enough to enumerate those who profit from the arrangement. Allow me to fill in the details:
The problem with "sin taxes," whether the sin is smoking, or not recycling, or driving to see Mom, is giving government the power to decide what sin is, what the wages of sin are (including a cost-of-living increase tied to the CPI-U), and who will pay. The political process is a poor mechanism to decide that fairly or to allocate the funds effectively (Josh points out in a private email that tobacco taxes never seem to find their way to smoking cessation as promised). Pigovian taxes are anti-free market. Though they use the mechanism of price, supply and demand, they represent intrusion and coercion into the market. I will not be joining the club.
But Pigou Club thinks:
My post was about "wiggle room". Prius is just the extreme case.
But jk thinks:
My characterization of your "wiggle room" point may be unfair. I hold, however, that many proponents of fuel-efficient vehicles underestimate the needs that others have. I drive a small car and have a brother-in-law who drives a hybrid with a vanity plate that celebrates its efficiency (I suggested S M U G...) I don’t know if my four brothers-in-law and I constitute a representative sample, but the other three include a painting contractor who needs to bring a van full of tools and supplies, a father of four and coach of a high school wrestling team, and a news photographer who needs to bring gear to any location in any kind of weather. The people who can use a small car already do; the others have defensible reasons. I'd appreciate a critique of my more general case about freedom and the government’s right and efficacy in engineering behavior through the tax code.
But johngalt thinks:
The wikipedia entry on Pigovian Tax states, "A key problem with Pigovian tax is that of calculating what level of tax will counterbalance the negative externality." But there is a problem before that. Namely, who gets to decide what are "negative externalities?" Posted by: johngalt at January 30, 2007 3:29 PMPetraeus: The "Not Greatest Generation's" Patton?I almost fell out of my chair Tuesday when I heard General David Petraeus tell a Senate Subcommittee, "That's correct" in reply to a question from, I think, McCain or Lieberman asking if those resolutions [proposed non-binding resolutions of no confidence in further offensive operations in Baghdad] would give encouragement to the enemy by exposing divisions among the American people. (I heard the statement first hand on the Rush Limbaugh program (taped delay) via C-Span3 and I've been desperately seeking a transcript ever since.) Townhall.com's Mary Katherine Ham is in the same boat, so until we can get the unadulterated, unfiltered, unslanted version of what happened we'll just have to read between the lines of MSM accounts, as Mary Katherine has done. Whither Patton, you ask? I can't exactly put my finger on what he said that inspired me to believe Pettraeus is a general's general (hence the desire for a transcript) but I think it was a bit like Patton's "Lead me, follow me, or get out of my way." One person unwilling to get out of Petraeus' way was Senator Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.): His statement drew a sharp rebuke from Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.), who said, "I very sincerely but wholeheartedly disagree," saying the point was to send a message to Iraqis. With all due respect, Senator, the question was not, "Are those resolutions intended to give encouragement to the enemy," it was if they "would give" said encouragement. You can sincerely but wholeheartedly disagree, you can belabor your version of reality, you can even pound on the desk with your shoe, but none of this does anything to alter the facts. Patton once said, "No good decision was made in a swivel chair." Now that the Senate has confirmed his appointment 81-0, Petraeus can stop wasting time with these people and spend it with his warriors instead. As a military scholar he is doubtless aware of Patton's creed: “I am a soldier, I fight where I am told, and I win where I fight.” You fight in Iraq, General; we'll fight America's enemies in the U.S. Senate.
But jk thinks:
The Wall Street Journal Editorial Report showed the clip and followed it with Senator Warner's dissembling, "he had no right to answer that question" response. They usually post a transcript of the show on Monday. I will be linking to the transcript as well, James Taranto ended the show saying "I'd just like to say, by the way, four weeks ago on this show, I said I thought that now the Democrats are in power, they would be more responsible. I officially retract that statement." UPDATE: I corrected the quote and here's the link. Sen. John McCain (R., Ariz.): Suppose that we send you additional troops, and we tell those troops that we support you, but we are convinced that you cannot accomplish your mission and we do not support the mission we are sending you on. What effect does that have on the morale of your troops?
Colorado Leads "The Pledge"Last week JK brought us "The Pledge" not to support re-election of Republican Senators who may choose to vote with the pacifist or anti-Bush left in one of this week's non-binding resolutions on Iraq. At that time there were less than 8,000 signatures. Today there are over 28,000. It is also interesting to note on this US map of signers, Colorado is behind only California and Texas (barely) in number of pledges with 2000 plus. On a per capita basis this puts Colorado clearly in the lead. I attribute this to a higher per capita number of bloggers in Colorado who are informed of such things. (Or maybe we've just got more time on our hands from being snowbound.) I went through the list of Colorado signers looking for names I recognized. There weren't many, but there were hyperlinks to names from towns nearby, like Brighton, Louisville and Longmont Several of them are bloggers who are, not surprisingly, like minded with the Three Sources way of thinking. Check them out: ithinkthereforeierr, Longmont - What HE says! "wait… you hate the war? you hate bush? we had no idea… really… could you tell us again. and pass some legislation that says you hate george bush…" Marcy's Musings, Brighton - Fight Back Against the Warner Resolution Documenting Instanity, Louisville - The Not Greatest Generation Some good stuff there.
But johngalt thinks:
Visitors may also be interested in Senatorial Surrender Monkeys, also related to non-binding resolutions in the Senate. Posted by: johngalt at January 29, 2007 3:14 AM
But Terri thinks:
Hey, thanks for the link! God Bless America!This oughtta piss off the Islamists... Some Coffee Stands Get Steamier And most of them have their own websites too (but of course!) Natte Latte It's alright, JK. They have drive-thrus too. What a country!
But jk thinks:
This is what we fight for. Posted by: jk at January 28, 2007 10:07 AM
But TrekMedic251 thinks:
Hmm,...wonder where the steamy, foamed milk comes from? ;-) Sorry, had to go there,... Posted by: TrekMedic251 at January 28, 2007 11:49 AM
But johngalt thinks:
January 27, 2007Remember these guys?
Google, launched in 1998 by two Stanford University dropouts, Sergey Brin and Larry Page, was accused of selling out and reneging on its "Don't be evil" motto when it launched in China in 2005. The company modified the version of its search engine in China to exclude controversial topics such as the Tiananmen Square massacre or the Falun Gong movement, provoking a backlash in its core western markets. Asked whether he regretted the decision, Mr Brin admitted yesterday: "On a business level, that decision to censor... was a net negative." The company has only once expressed any regret and never in as strong terms as yesterday. Mr Brin said the company had suffered because of the damage to its reputation in the US and Europe.
But jk thinks:
Good to see the market enforcing good behavior. Although, at $500 bucks a share, I have to ask how negative it was. Instapundit has highlighted many leftist and politically correct examples of domestic censorship. I hope they don't regret silencing Falun Gong yet celebrate silencing American political opinion. Responding to the ResponseHugh Hewitt brings us "An essay from an active duty officer with more than 25 years of service, addressed to his fellow USNA alum, Senator James Webb." The essay is serious and forthright. Those who opposed Webb's Senate election and disagreed with his SOTU response will enjoy it. I know I did. One could criticize it for a bit of "SwiftBoating." I don't use that word as pejoratively as Senator Kerry, but I think that O'Neill and the Swiftboat Veterans for Truth erred when they mixed personal and trivial allegations with those that were far more serious. In this essay (the officer is active duty and the piece is anonymous), the suggestion is made that the prickly, angry, ex-Republican, ex-SecNavy is still nursing a grudge over a "brigades" boxing match he lost to LTC Oliver North. It's an interesting bit of history and a better bit of gossip, seconded by another "boat school" alum who thought the same. In the end, that critique has a little too much Oprah in it. I don't think it is fair to psychoanalyze Webb over the TV. Yet the same article makes serious points about the history of war from Thucydides and the history of the Democrats from the Civil War: What we are witnessing today is the return of the worst hits of the Democratic Party. Going back to the American Civil War, Democrats were against THAT war and tried mightily to undermine President Lincoln. Those Democrats became known as Copperheads or Peace Democrats and, these were labels of which they were proud. They wanted the president to negotiate a peace with the Confederates and put an end to a far more bloody war than the war in Iraq when things were going so very wrong for the Union. So there is a long history of this behavior in the Democratic Party. There was a time they could only envision defeat, not victory. This was NOT true during WW I or WW II, but now the Democrats love to bring up Vietnam and the loss suffered there, and it remains for them the measuring stick against which all US military action MUST be compared. James Webb is a product of that policy failure and he is clearly embittered by it. A great weekend-length read. As one commenter said: Remind me NEVER to cross a Naval officer or Marine. You'd think some folks would learn...
But dagny thinks:
Human beings hardly ever learn from the experience of others. They learn; when they do, which isn't often, on their own, the hard way. Robert Anson Heinlein Posted by: dagny at January 27, 2007 4:40 PMJanuary 26, 2007Whither PigouI part with the beliefs of Greg Mankiw reluctantly. I respect the good doctor. But his recent pushing of Pigouvian taxes and creation of the Pigou club have left me cold. Today, Charles Krauthammer joins the Pigou Club and is applauded by ThreeSources's own LatteSipper. I sense an unholy alliance building between LS, Mankiw, and Krauthammer -- a triumvirate I'm not prepared to consider. Josh at Everyday Economist has a thoughtful post on the topic today. Like me, he's a Mankiw fan but like me he is unconvinced. Individuals respond to incentives. So, if a tax is placed on a good, individuals will be inclined to change their behavior. Pigouvian taxes work especially well on things like cigarettes and alcohol. The increased taxes cause many to cut down on their unhealthly habits; or even quit. However, there is something quite different between tobacco use and automobile use. With regard to Charles Krauthammer's piece, I hate to interrupt the comity implied by LS's improbable link, but I can't agree with that plank of his piece either. Krauthammer has a three-part path to energy independence: "Tax gas. Drill in the Arctic. Go nuclear." If my friend LatteSipper will sign on for all three of those, I'll compromise on the gas tax. Building nuclear power plants and increasing domestic drilling would be good moves. As far as Krauthammer's Pigouvian leanings, I think he makes a big mistake confusing economics with capitalism: No regulator, no fuel-efficiency standards, no presidential exhortations, no grand experiments with switch grass. Raise the price, and people change their habits. It's the essence of capitalism. I would suggest that capitalism would be allowing the market to decide the balance of energy sources and trusting the pricing model to spur innovation. Sorry, LS, the big group hug is put off 'till another day.
But johngalt thinks:
Well, I'm certainly glad that ONE of us read Latte's link. That Latte is a sneaky guy! I'm also thrilled to learn the academic source of Washington's belief that it can alter reality by raising taxes: English economist Arthur Cecil Pigou and his "Pigovian tax." I daresay that thinking like his is what brought us the very idea of DAWG. Like class-action lawyers beating the bushes for plaintiffs, proponents of Pigou's "Economics of Welfare" needed a club with which to malleate a mostly free world market into something more to their liking. DAWG is, without a doubt, the closest they've come to date. Posted by: johngalt at January 27, 2007 2:59 PMFriday HumorThe Wreck of the Patrick Fitzgerald from The American Spectator. Mea culpa to young readers who do not get the allusion to Gordon Lightfoot's lugubrious '70s ballad; mea maxima culpa to those who will be reminded... The legend lives on from main Justice on down Hat-tip: Extreme Mortman On the web
Posted by jk at 5:56 PM
Profiting From Bad GovernmentAdam Smith is lovingly quoted by, umm, guys like me because of his defense of the free market and his defense of the morality of the free market. P.J. O'Rourke's new book reminds us --several times -- that Wealth of Nations is not a paean to capitalism. I remember a story of an economics professor who promised any of his students an A in his course if they could find a good word about businessmen in its 900 pages. JohnGalt highlights the problem in an excellent post about Kyoto style carbon caps being embraced by GE, DuPont (Mon dieu, Pierre, Non!), and many utilities. Highly capitalized companies at the top can usually find a way to profit from bad economic ideas -- or can lobby the laws to favor them somehow. While protectionism, anti-trust, and onerous regulation make us all poorer, it can make entrenched firms wealthier. The spectacle of business promoting anti-business legislation is, perversely, good governance and protection of shareholder value. I'd add an article by Gary Becker and Richard Posner (my two newest, favoritist bloggers) in the WSJ Ed Page. They highlight the minimum wage as How to Make the Poor Poorer. They lay out clear and convincing arguments which are sermons to the choir at ThreeSources, but they also show the groups that have an advantage by higher minimum wages. Discussing the new Chicago minimum wage: Who would favor such a bad ordinance? Conventional supermarket chains and clothing stores, of course, and unions -- the latter not only for the usual reasons but also because big box companies oppose unions; the ordinance sent a signal that unions have enough political clout to make life difficult for large nonunion retailers. The absence of opposition to the ordinance from low-income consumers is not surprising because they are not organized to exert political pressure. The aggressive support of the ordinance by most of the council's black members is more difficult to understand, but the explanation may be that they are allied with unions. They may have realized that their constituents would be harmed by the ordinance, but believed that in return for taking this hit they would get the support of unions for measures that would help low-income families. The "party of the people" find themselves on the wrong side another time. Economics and Markets
Posted by jk at 2:07 PM
GOP and Industry Cave on KyotoI'm inspired to try going 2 for 2 with Latte Sipper (see his comment). Those who choose to look can see that the government coercion enabling E85 is on the verge of being applied to another "problem:" DAWG. Kimberly Strassel writes today in WSJ's 'Potomac Watch' Why our CEOs are warming to Kyoto. Democrats want to flog the global warming theme through 2008 and they'll take what help they can get, even if it means cozying up to executives whose goal is to enrich their firms. Right now, the corporate giants calling for a mandatory carbon cap serve too useful a political purpose for anyone to delve into their baser motives. But here's where I'll probably lose Latte: But read the fine print. The new vaunted committee will have no legislative authority, but exists solely to hold hearings and to "communicate with the American people." Ms. Pelosi and Harry Reid want to talk about this issue . . . and talk, and talk and talk. But not necessarily anything more. Not long ago there was a large, well-known American corporation that profited by trading on the rise and fall of energy markets as they were artificially driven by government mandates which they had lobbied for. It was called Enron. Economics and Markets
Posted by JohnGalt at 12:29 PM
The Ethanol MythThat's not just this gas guzzlin' global warming denier talking, those are the words of the respected consumer journal Consumer Reports. A recent Harris Interactive study of vehicle owners found that more than half were interested in purchasing an FFV, mostly for reduced dependency on petroleum and improved fuel economy. CR goes on to explain how: - The fuel economy of their test SUV dropped 27% when running on E85 compared with gasoline. And finally, the real reason for the boom in FFV production: The FFV surge is being motivated by generous fuel-economy credits that auto-makers get for every FFV they build, even if it never runs on E85. This allows them to pump out more gas-guzzling large SUVs and pickups, which is resulting in the consumption of many times more gallons of gasoline than E85 now replaces. But this isn't all. The Wall Street Journal explained Who Is Hurt By Oil's Fall (paid link) in the January 19, 2007 issue. The lede says it all. "Drillers, Ethanol Makers Lead Pack Of Stocks That Could Be Hit Hardest" This is because the cost of producing ethanol fuel is so high relative to gasoline. Not because the oil economy is subsidized, but because it requires only refinement to become a fuel, not an elaborate and energy intensive fermentation and distillation process. Still want more? There's a huge debate raging over this issue with claims such as "it cannot contribute to the formation of deposits" coming mostly from domains such as ilcorn.org, mncorn.org, ncga.com (national corn growers assn), and contradictory claims of "increased intake valve deposits by more than 350%" from the addition of just 10% ethanol to gasoline. (This sounds a lot like the global warming debate, with opposing sides making bold claims. I wonder if either of them could be bending the truth a bit?) I suspect the ethanol messiahs are conveniently ignoring the corrosive effects of moisture that is naturally absorbed by anhydrous ethanol. when AlexC wrote The Dark Side of Ethanol yesterday I wondered, what is the bright side?
But lattesipper thinks:
Rare is the day I agree with JohnGalt and Charles Krauthammer (Energy Independence?) Posted by: lattesipper at January 26, 2007 8:43 AM
But Everyday Economist thinks:
Okay, I will be the first to stand up and complain about government subsidies of ethanol. However, this analysis by Consumer Reports purports to dispel the "myth" of ethanol when, in fact, their analysis is flawed. First, it is unfair to compare the current cost of ethanol to the current cost of gasoline because in most areas ethanol is monopolistically priced. Ethanol is only available is certain areas of the country. Further, even in areas of the country where it is available, it is offered at only a few places. Second, if we were to allow Brazilian ethanol to be imported, ethanol would be much cheaper. After all, that which is produced in the United States is done by an infant industry that has yet to develop economies of scale. These lower prices would make ethanol more practical and more affordable. The "myth" associated with ethanol is that we can subsidize the industry to the hilt and thus immediately reduce our oil dependence. Even if the industry becomes successful in the future and is able to produce ethanol at a much lower cost, it is not a short run solution. Subsidizing industries has more to do with "creating" jobs than it does with solving the problem. Subsidation is not the panacea that the government pretends it to be. However, ethanol is not the problem; it is the ignorant subsidation of an American ethanol industry. Posted by: Everyday Economist at January 26, 2007 10:35 AMJanuary 25, 2007Senatorial Surrender MonkeysFirst the Democrats... US Senate panel opposes plan to send more troops to Iraq Then the Republicans... Senate showdown looms for troop buildup in Iraq Key GOP senator opposes Bush's Iraq plan Brownback could back rival resolution against troop increase War stage set: Congress v Bush All of this about-facing and navel gazing is nauseating, and unseemly for a stately body such as the United States Senate. But it does remind me of the way I felt back in 2003 when another group of surrender monkeys was wringing its hands. Here's what I said then and here's Dark DaysThreeSources's sunny optimist is down today. It's sunny and cheery and the snow is melting a little. But, as Elmore James would say "It's rainin' in my heart." It is fortunate that this Congress can not do very much to stop the surge, and there is a chance it will show progress before they can mobilize. But the depth of the opposition and the pusillanimity of my beloved Republicans have me down. VP Cheney pointed out in an interview that "We haven't had Chuck Hagel on board for a long time." He doesn't really count as a defection, nor would Senator Snowe (RINO - ME). But Smith, Warner, maybe Coleman, and a few others could be the undoing of the war. Please sign the pledge. I don't know if it will work, but it's a good effort -- there are 8892 signatories as I write this. Bad enough we lost Senator Warner, SugarChuck emails me that we have lost Merle Haggard. How's that gonna go over in Muskogee? Ben Stein in The American Spectator Even Stein has lost faith in the war, of course. But it's not about Warner, Hagel, Haggard, or Stein (sounds like a law firm). It's Stein's assertions about the MSM and CW. Today's press thinks that the bravest and most wonderful thing that ever happened in this country was when they and their intellectual ancestors forced a US surrender in Vietnam. Repeating that would give their lives meaning. They are energized and ascendant. People with much power to shape opinion are dedicated to ignominious retreat. If those two items don't bring you down, sail on over to TNR for a defense of liberal Senators. It seems they didn't end Vietnam after all, that's revisionist history: In 1970, during the Vietnam war, an amendment to the military procurement authorization act introduced by Republican Mark Hatfield and Democrat George McGovern proposed that, unless President Nixon sought and won a declaration of war from Congress, no money could be spent after the end of the year "for any purposes other than to pay costs relating to the withdrawal of all United States forces." Of course, withdrawing forces is not cutting funding for them (in fact, it might have turned out to be more expensive in the short term), and Hatfield-McGovern never got more than 42 votes in the Senate--even though, in its second go-round in 1971, 73 percent of the public supported it. I don't know if Perlstein is correct, but it sounds to me a lot more like it's 1970 now, not '66 or '68. Civilization is over. Have a nice day.
But dagny thinks:
Hey JK, I have a serious question about your, "sign the pledge," campaign. My understanding of the pragmatic position is that you would support these Republican senators regardless of the awful things they do, simply because the alternative (electing Democrats) would be worse. I seem to remember your support for Lincoln Chaffee who would likely also have been on-board for non-binding anti-war resolutions. Can you tell me how a self-proclaimed pragmatist finally draws the line that THESE Republicans have gone too far and no longer deserve support? (johngalt made me include, for the record, that he signed the pledge.) Posted by: dagny at January 27, 2007 5:46 PM
But jk thinks:
Fair question. In 2006, I did not give any money to the RNSC nor NRCC, I rather found individual candidates that met my lofty ideals. Actually, Sen. Chafee was a part of that decision. Reading Hugh Hewitt's "Painting the Map Red" tempered my pragmatism. Was I correct? My income is down and my political giving has been restricted pari passu, so I don't think my dinky sums changed the nation. But Hewitt sold a lot of books. If thousands gave to Michael Steele and Diana Irey, it could have damaged the party's chances of affecting some close races. The pragmatist sees the dark side of pursuing the righteous path. The scuffle we had on these pages was the Laffey-Chafee primary. Club-for-Growth-endorsed-swell-guy Cranston Mayor Steve Laffey ran against Chafee in the primary and I suggested that The Ocean State was way too liberal to elect somebody as good as Laffey, that we were better off with Linc's one vote for leadership. Senate Majority Leader McConnell wishes that we had. Perspective On The Surge[Then] Maj. Greeley responded to a post on my old Berkeley Square Blog and we have kept up an intermittent email conversation ever since. Greeley played high school football with Paul Gigot of the WSJ Ed Page. Though retired, he went back to Mosul, Iraq to train troops on safety. I haven't heard in a while, but he sent me a unique view of Gen Petraeus and the surge: I hope you are well, Thanks to all who serve. UPDATE: Our friend was promoted to LTC. He retired on Sept 9 and was called up again on Sept 10 (not a lot of time for golf...) He was transferred from Baghdad to Wash DC and active duty was extended another year. Thank you, Colonel, for your service. War on Terror
Posted by jk at 10:46 AM
January 24, 2007The Dark Side of EthanolIt's like something out of the twilight zone. Soaring international demand for corn has caused a spike in prices for Mexico's humble tortilla, hitting the poor and forcing President Felipe Calderon's business-friendly government into an uncomfortable confrontation with powerful monopolies. It's good to know that Big Oil aren't the only ones blamed with collusion. The federal government's antitrust watchdog announced this week it was investigating allegations companies were manipulating corn prices, and making deals to limit the supply of corn to boost prices of tortillas.
But Everyday Economist thinks:
Price manipulation? The increase in the price of corn will cause corn producers to produce more. As supply increases, the price of corn will fall as will the price of the tortilla. We heard this same argument with regards to oil just a few short months ago, yet the price of oil has plummeted. Go figure. Posted by: Everyday Economist at January 25, 2007 12:32 PM
But jk thinks:
Well said, EE. You're dead right in a real market. My concern is the government manipulation through subsidies. The tortilla baker has to compete against a subsidized ethanol plant. No wonder Senator Grassley was weeping tears of joy.
But Everyday Economist thinks:
Subsidies are unlikely to push up prices. In fact, a government subsidy often encourages overproduction and thus lowers the price. This is why foreign farmers find it so hard to compete with countries with large farm subsidies. Unless the United States were to develop some type of New Deal-style subisidy that was designed to limit the supply, it is unlikely that we will see a sustained rise in corn prices. The idea behind the ethanol subsidies is to encourage more production. Currently, both tortilla-lovers and ethanol producers are competing for the same scarce resource. The subsidies will eventually lead to increased production and thus lower prices. Posted by: Everyday Economist at January 25, 2007 3:21 PM
But johngalt thinks:
I'm afraid our friend Everyday Economist is vastly oversimplifying the situation by failing to account for the myriad ripple effects of government manipulation of the marketplace. He's also mistaken about just exactly what the subsidies JK mentions are for. It is not corn production that is being subsidized, but ethanol production. That, combined with the "maize only" mandate that El-Visitador claims (the validity of which I have no reason to doubt), creates an artificial spike in demand, which has a predictable effect on price. Meanwhile, ethanol as a practical fuel is a disaster. Posted by: johngalt at January 26, 2007 1:17 AM
But El-Visitador thinks:
*** CORRECTION *** No corn mandate *** I appreciated johngalts' comment regarding my comment, but it made me reflect on what my source was. And my source was my memory, which has been known to fail from time to time. So I looked at a number of sources, including the Act itself, the Energy Policy Act of 2005. Corn is not mandated by law at all. Nonetheless, most ethanol in the U.S. is made from corn, which obviuously results in rising corn prices. And the U.S. does produce (or at least formerly produced) 70% of worldwide corn exports; therefore, any increases in the internal U.S. market have immediate consequences in the (mostly poorer) countries elsewhere that import corn as either human or animal foodstock. Ethanol could be made in the U.S. from a cheaper, more efficient per acre source: sugarcane. But sugarcane is heavily dutied and protected (which is why sugar is 4 times costlier in the U.S. than in most places around the world), whereas corn is subsidized. This is why most ethanol is currently made from corn. some sources:
But jk thinks:
You're both right (I'm a uniter). I'll do a post about this, but Cafe Hayek has more on tortilla-gate. It seems Mexico has a quota to limit imported corn: So because of a bad law in the United States (the requirement to put ethanol in gasoline), the Mexicans have decided to pass a bad law that can only lead to a tortilla shortage.Posted by: jk at January 26, 2007 10:16 AM Signed.I usually don't go for these, but this looks good: If the United States Senate passes a resolution, non-binding or otherwise, that criticizes the commitment of additional troops to Iraq that General Petraeus has asked for and that the president has pledged, and if the Senate does so after the testimony of General Petraeus on January 23 that such a resolution will be an encouragement to the enemy, I will not contribute to any Republican senator who voted for the resolution. Further, if any Republican senator who votes for such a resolution is a candidate for re-election in 2008, I will not contribute to the National Republican Senatorial Committee unless the Chairman of that Committee, Senator Ensign, commits in writing that none of the funds of the NRSC will go to support the re-election of any senator supporting the non-binding resolution. Sign it Hat-tip: Hugh Hewitt
But TrekMedic251 thinks:
I'm there! Posted by: TrekMedic251 at January 25, 2007 9:40 PM
But jk thinks:
Sweet. 16,565 people so far. Posted by: jk at January 26, 2007 10:46 AMThe Best LineI forgot it, but Larry Kudlow did not: "A future of hope and opportunity begins with a growing economy – and that is what we have. We are now in the 41st month of uninterrupted job growth – in a recovery that has created 7.2 million new jobs ... so far. Unemployment is low, inflation is low, and wages are rising. This economy is on the move – and our job is to keep it that way, not with more government but with more enterprise." - President Bush in last night's State of the Union Second Bush Administration
Posted by jk at 3:39 PM
Knowing JackI give Jack Murtha credit for having more guts than nearly all Democrats put together. But that doesn't mean he's right. Rep. John Murtha on Tuesday urged that a "responsible phased" withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq begin from within Saddam Hussein's palaces and said the United States should denounce any aspirations to build permanent military bases in the country. It's too bad he missed "Germany" and "Japan." Strange, because his idea of redeploying to Okinawa, would have put American soldiers in bases in Japan. We have bases all over the world, we'd be silly to not have bases in the Middle East. The Island of Diego Garcia, while closer than Okinawa, probably isn't big enough should problems arise. Murtha said that for the United States to regain international credibility, the country must make it clear that it doesn't want permanent military bases in Iraq, and it must also close the Guantanamo detention facility and bulldoze the Abu Ghraib prison.
But jk thinks:
And y'all said Democrats don't have a plan. "[T]he withdrawal of U.S. forces should start from Saddam's palaces, where some U.S. troops operate, and then from Baghdad's heavily guarded Green Zone. That should be followed by a withdrawal from prime real estate in Iraq's major cities, factories and universities and then the entire country." Then we should hide under our beds. If there is a noise, or it's dark, we could run to our neighbors... Posted by: jk at January 24, 2007 1:21 PM SOTU 2007
The health care proposal is "Dead On Arrival" says Nina Easton of FORTUNE Magazine on FOXNews, according to her sources and no one disagrees. Arnold Kling gave it an A+, the Dems a DOA+. It is safe to say he doesn't have a chance in hell of getting it, but it might be something the GOP could build on for 2008. The health care hybrid is broken. The Democrats want to make it more collectivist, the Republicans more free market. That's a good fight. Yes, he said "confront the serious problem of global warming." He gave it away, too. Not in trade for policy -- it was a throw away line. Does he expect the enviros will love him now? Get ready to hear "Even President Bush says..." many times. He sold the skeptics out for nothing. Even a crack whore commands some remuneration, Mr. President. The only serious flaw in the speech. It could have been worse. I suppose. Was it me or was Senator Grassley weeping tears of joy when the President suggested more ethanol subsidies. The dude was crying! I suppose Senator Harkin was just too disheveled to actually show on TV. The foreign policy pitch was perfect. Like Bill Kristol, I liked the attribution of setbacks in 2006 to our enemies' successes instead of our failures. I also was relieved by the clear dividing line of the Samara Mosque bombing. War opponents act like things have been in the toilet for four years; no, things were picking up and they took a bathroom-fixture-swirly direction when the Sunnis blew up a sacred Shia site. I tell people that all the time (for which I have few friends left) and was glad to hear the President underscore it. More money for AIDS and Malaria in Africa. We can hope that we help only a few fewer than we hurt, but it polls well. The pitch to :"Madame Speaker" at the beginning was perfect, as was the salute to Dad. He pulled up just in time before it went too far. The language was good. Since Gersten and Frum are gone, you don't hear many good turns of phrase but last night had a few: "Putting in earmarks when even C-Span isn't watching," "You didn't vote for defeat," "we will show our enemies abroad that we are united in the goal of victory." My brother-in-law called at the end and said he'd give it a B+. I'd certainly go there. Without the global warming sop, it would have been an A-. UPDATE:I mistakenly cited Nina Easton as being from Forbes magazine. She is the Washington Bureau Chief for FORTUNE. I corrected the post and ThreeSources regrets the error. Second Bush Administration
Posted by jk at 11:20 AM
January 23, 2007Gas Prices DroppingDo you hear that? It's the sounds of 10,000 conspiracy theorists silenced. Today’s Patriot-News survey of 10 stations in the region put the average price for a gallon of regular unleaded at $2.164, down 9.3 cents from last week and 16.6 cents since Jan. 9. ... and here I thought gas prices were being manipulated by the President for his electoral benefit. (Well, there was that SOTU address) Actually, as someone in the petroleum business, I should be crying. But strangely, I'm not. It's like a tax-cut for consumers. Yay, capitalism!
But jk thinks:
$1.99 for regular unleaded around these parts. I read yesterday that GM is actually concerned about low gas prices. Now that they are betting the farm on hybrids and smaller vehicles they do not want to see demand drop. Posted by: jk at January 24, 2007 10:25 AM
But mdmhvonpa thinks:
The thing that bothers me the most: Citgo has the lowest price in the area and 3 new stations have been opened near me. Fargin' Hugo. Posted by: mdmhvonpa at January 24, 2007 10:28 AM
But TrekMedic251 thinks:
I just a pre-approved credit card from Citgo. Voided it and sent it back with a note saying "We don't support South American dictators here. Stop soliciting my name and address. Remove both from your mailing lists!" Other than that, give me Sunoco, or give me death! Posted by: TrekMedic251 at January 25, 2007 9:44 PM
But jk thinks:
Catchy! Posted by: jk at January 26, 2007 10:17 AMLarry's Pretty UpbeatAll bad news this afternoon: AMD and Yahoo earnings disappoint, Hezbollah has Beirut in flames, Bush approval ratings actually go negative (okay, I made the last one up, but barely). When you need a ray of sunshine, Larry Kudlow's blog is rarely a bad place to look. Today, he offers his An Excellent Economic State of the Union It's a long post, full of good signs, but I liked the end: something to remember about our so called beleaguered President. As President George W. Bush takes the podium tonight for his seventh State of the Union message, his policy of lower marginal tax rates and a general absence of overregulation (with the exception of Sarbox, but including the opposition to carbon caps) has succeeded in nurturing low inflation and entrepreneurial economic growth. Switchgrass. Second Bush Administration
Posted by jk at 6:23 PM
Supporting The TroopsThe Los Angeles Times way. You don't have to click, I have reproduced this editorial in full. You want to read it all at once: LISTENING TO President Bush's speech on Iraq earlier this month, my first thought was: "Where the heck are we going to get 21,500 more soldiers to send to Iraq?" Our Reserves are depleted, our National Guard is worn out, our Army and Marine Corps are stretched to the limit. Hat-tip: Hugh who provides the phone number to cancel your subscription.
Media and Blogging
Posted by jk at 5:36 PM
Romneycare Going Down?I was happy to see Wal*Mart win one in court last week because I love to champion the forces of mercantilism over the needs of low-wage workers. I've shilled for Big Oil and Big Pharma on these pages, why not Big Retail (with Big Customers who eat lots of Little Debbie cakes)? Seriously, the Maryland law was an insane government intrusion into a private business, comically picking a single private business with which to interfere. The news is better than I realized at the time. The WSJ Ed Page points out (paid link, sorry!) that this ruling spells trouble for Gov. Mitt Romney's Massachusetts and Gov. Schwarzenegger's California health care Judge J. Frederick Motz wrote for that court that "The Act violates Erisa's fundamental purpose of permitting multi-state employers to maintain nationwide health and welfare plans, providing uniform nationwide benefits and permitting uniform national administration." Last week's Fourth Circuit ruling affirmed that decision, and it could spell trouble for the California and Massachusetts schemes. AlexC was mentioning the weak GOP Presidential field in 2008. I was looking at Romney before his health care plan. The same editorial says: This week brings one other piece of bad news for proponents of the Massachusetts model, by the way. Early bids suggest the soon-to-be compulsory insurance policies that will pass muster under the scheme will be expensive -- starting at a whopping $380 per month, or $4,560 a year, for an individual. That's hardly surprising when you look at costs in other states that overregulate their insurance markets, such as New York. But it's more evidence that the better way to get people covered is to mimic the practices of less-regulated states such as Connecticut, where a 35-year-old man can get covered for as little as $50 per month. Dukakis, Kerry, Romney: like a bad horror movie, another "Commonwealth" pol always springs up... January 22, 2007McCain InThe sun rose in the east this morning and John McCain says he's in.
While his presidential exploratory committee still must decide the right time for a formal announcement, McCain said unequivocally that he's in the race. "There's no doubt," McCain told the Trib. "But, right now, the Iraq issue ... is taking a lot of my attention and effort away, and I think that's appropriate. I'm still a United States senator. I've got to perform my duties." McCain, Giuliani, Brownback, Ron Paul, ???? nobody appeals to me. At all.
But johngalt thinks:
Here's a GOP contender idea for you: Joseph Lieberman. Imagine the "bipartisanship" campaign spots showing the would be Republican president "working so hard to engage with mainstream Democrats that he actually was chosen as the vice-presidential candidate by party standard bearer, Albert Gore Jr." How does Hillary top that? Claim that she illegally rifled through the FBI files of just as many Democrats as Republicans? Posted by: johngalt at January 23, 2007 2:05 AM
But jk thinks:
I am thinking of buying the domain readytosettleformccainyet.com. I think I am. A friend of the blog emails that he's looking at Gov. Huckabee of Arkansas. The Gov has received very poor marks from The Weekly Standard on Taxes. I'm keeping a spot for Mayor Giuliani, but I am ready to settle for McCain. Our enemies will still be at war with us in January of 2009, whether we will be at war with them is the question. I hope SCOTUS stomps on his anti-free-speech signature bill, but I cannot imagine anyone better as C-in-C (even Principal Wood). I'm ready to settle. I've done worse.
But jk thinks:
JG: While Senator Lieberman would also be good on the war, his other votes are pretty standard-issue Democrat. ADA gives him a 70% rating, ACLU 83%, National Taxpayers Union 14%. Here are key votes from 2000-2004 from the Almanac of American politics: 1. Ban Drilling in ANWR Y There are worse, but I don't see Sen Joe as the great GOP hope.
But johngalt thinks:
Fair enough brother. Would you be so kind as to share McCain's votes on the same 12 issues? (It was meant to be tongue in cheek anyway.) Posted by: johngalt at January 23, 2007 2:47 PM
But jk thinks:
Harrumph. Not a lot better. McCain gets a 77% from the NTU, 35 ADA, and 22 from the ACLU. 1. Ban Drilling in ANWR Y Posted by: jk at January 23, 2007 3:05 PM Cruel and InhumanA few people have had some fun with Senator Schumer's imaginary friends. Biking through New York’s boroughs in 2005, I thought about some old friends, Joe and Eileen Bailey. Though they are imaginary, I frequently talk to them. Extreme Mortman sees the other side Forget Schumer, I feel more sorry for the Baileys. Any chance they ever get a word in edgewise?
Posted by jk at 5:06 PM
W Gets an A+It's not everyday the President gets an A+ from Arnold Kling, but he has today. In Capping a Bad Tax Break Kling applauds the prereleased details of the President's Health Care plan. I would grade this as "A ". The question is whether he can get any Democratic support. My guess is that some of the most extravagant health insurance plans come from unions. The fact that the President's proposal is much more "progressive" than the status quo (as it stands now, the "rich" benefit the most from not having to declare the cost of gold-plated health plans as income) will not get any support from "progressives." Hat-tip to Josh at Everyday Economist, who has some kind words for it as well. I was concerned that the reduced deductibility was a tax increase for the rich, perversely telling employers that they cannot provide too much health care. Yet I am conceding to my economic superiors: Hendrickson, Kling, and Mankiw. The plan would break the perverse incentive structure which allows employers to provide comprehensive care disguised as insurance as a tax-free benefit, indirectly righting the broken incentive of overusing health care because it's paid for by another. The President gets his share of abuse on these pages (not from me, don't send the jackbooted thugs to my address Mr. Gonzales) but we do a disservice to ignore the positive features of "compassionate conservatism" where President Bush does seek to repair broken incentives.
But AlexC thinks:
The American Spectator also takes a look. Here's something that caught my eye. Under the plan, individuals purchasing insurance on their own or through their employer would be exempt from paying income or payroll taxes on the first $15,000 of their income. This would translate into $4,500 for a family of four with income of $60,000. In addition, small businesses such as S-corporations would get the same tax incentives for providing healthcare as larger companies. As an "individual purchasing insurance on my own" and prospective S corp, I like it. Posted by: AlexC at January 22, 2007 9:45 PMJanuary 21, 2007Update Your LinksLooks like I will have to stop not reading Andrew Sullivan on Time, and start not reading him in The Atlantic. Hat-tip: Insty |