April 20, 2018

Be Very Careful What you Wish for

Colorado has gone to open primaries. Many people -- notably Jon Caldera -- have worried about the opportunity for shenanigans. Together with mail-in ballots and same day registration, a clever strategist could interfere with the other party's primary, especially if his or her preferred party was not competitive in the current cycle.

My general response is: "yeah, they could saddle us with Dan Maes for Governor and Ken Buck (HOSS - CD4) for Senate!" Those of you with a life or a location out of the Centennial State should know that refers to two uncompetitive candidates who were propelled by Tea Party enthusiasm to victory over more electable candidates.

Jim Geraghty ends his Morning Jolt newsletter with the 2016 version: the Clinton Camp's desire to run against the unelectable Donald J. Trump

ADDENDA: Who wanted Donald Trump to win the Republican presidential primary in 2016? Hillary Clinton's campaign.

From early on, the Clinton camp saw Trump as an enemy to encourage, Chozick writes. During the campaign, as had been previously reported, there was an effort to elevate Trump into a so-called Pied Piper in order to tie him to the mainstream of the Republican Party.

"An agenda for an upcoming campaign meeting sent by [Campaign Manager] Robby Mook's office asked, "How do we maximize Trump?" Chozick writes, describing a time when the GOP primary was still crowded.

I think we can consider Trump maximized now.

Be careful what you wish for!

I recall the sentiment in 2008. "If only the Democrats will elect that greenhorn, no-account Community Organizer, our principled statesman ***cough, cough, Senator McCain*** will sail to victory!'

I don't doubt some chicanery, but the idea that 13-dimensional string chess will work in electoral politics is flawed.

Politics Posted by John Kranz at April 20, 2018 11:50 AM

You forgot Darryl Glenn.

But don't be so quick to pile on ol' Ken. Finishing within 30,000 votes (out of 1.77 million) or 1.7 percentage points was very respectable given that the Maes debacle happened the same year, obliterating any coattails from the top of the ticket. And then there was the three-to-one spending advantage.

The "cowboy boots vs. high heels" and "homosexuality is a mental disorder" comments are memorable, but probably not decisive.

I'm optimistic about Colorado's new open primary. It allows unaffiliateds to play a significant role in choosing party nominees, so I expect a moderating effect.

Posted by: johngalt at April 20, 2018 6:28 PM

I was bein' nice.

Ha. Actually, I am less certain that Glenn knocked out a winnable opponent. An incumbent Senator is a challenge to knock off, even Senator Bennet (Backbencher - CO).

Rep. Buck is now my congressperson and I am a fan. But I think Jane Norton would have outperformed by at least 1.7%.

Posted by: jk at April 21, 2018 11:45 AM

Speaking of Darryl Glenn, he's running for U.S. Congress now and might have a decent chance now that the incumbent Republican Congressman Doug Lamborn is likely going to have to find honest work for a change. Glenn shares the primary ballot with state Senator Owen Hill and two political newcomers.

Posted by: johngalt at April 24, 2018 5:41 PM | What do you think? [3]