Oh Noes! Trouble for Sen Udall?
Alyssa Finley: Bad News for Colorado's Udall
Democrats are taking cold comfort in a New York Times/Kaiser Family Foundation poll this week that finds Senate Democrats leading Republican challengers in pivotal southern states with double-digit spreads in Arkansas and Louisiana. Meantime, a couple of new polls suggest that Colorado Democrat Mark Udall could be in serious trouble.
First, a word on the Times poll: The survey does not reflect likely voting. Nearly a third of the respondents in Arkansas didn't vote in 2012. Nor did a quarter of those in Louisiana and 21% in North Carolina. Among those who reported voting, President Obama was favored 31-28 over Mitt Romney in Louisiana and 38-31 in North Carolina. The president lost Louisiana by 17 points and North Carolina by two. Democratic Senators are likely to lead the unpopular president, but probably not by the 41 points that the poll suggests in Louisiana.
A new PPP survey has Mr. Udall leading by a mere two points, while an internal survey for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce shows Republican Rep. Cory Gardner up by two among likely voters. According to the Chamber's survey, six in 10 voters oppose ObamaCare and 55% view President Obama unfavorably. Roll Call prognosticator Stu Rothenberg said on CNN's "State of the Union" this week that Mr. Gardner could pull off an upset.
Not surprisingly, Democrats' strategy to counteract ObamaCare liability is to wage a "war on women" campaign against Mr. Gardner. On Wednesday, the incumbent released its first TV ad, which denounces his Republican challenger for sponsoring a bill to make abortion a felony and undertaking a "quest to outlaw birth control."
2014 Midterm Election
Posted by John Kranz at April 24, 2014 6:58 PM