January 9, 2010
TOSS UP in the Commonwealth!!!
Buoyed by a huge advantage with independents and relative disinterest from Democratic voters in the state, Republican Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley 48-47.111th Congress Posted by John Kranz at January 9, 2010 11:50 PMHere are the major factors leading to this surprising state of affairs:
-As was the case in the Gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia last year, it looks like the electorate in Massachusetts will be considerably more conservative than the one that showed up in 2008. Obama took the state by 26 points then, but those planning to vote next week only report having voted for him by 16.
Wow. A 2-1 lead over Coakley among independents is huge.
I liked this line: "All that said Coakley can certainly still win this race..." That's a far cry from "a Republican has a snowball's chance in hell of winning Ted Kennedy's seat."
Posted by: johngalt at January 10, 2010 10:59 AM | What do you think? [1]