December 31, 2007

Predictions?

With the Iowa caucuses taking place on Thursday, I thought that it would be fun (ex post, with a great deal of laughing) for bloggers and readers to make predictions about the results of the Iowa caucus as well as the ultimate nominations. While I am usually pretty good at predicting presidential victories, I am terrible at these types of predictions and thus this should provide some entertainment. With that being said, here are my predictions:

Caucus results:

Dems:
1. Obama
2. Clinton
3. Edwards

GOP:
1. Romney
2. Huckabee
3. Thompson

(Upset special: Ron Paul will do better in Iowa than Rudy)

...with Clinton and Romney emerging as the ultimate candidates for their respective parties.

Post your predictions in the comments...

2008 Race Posted by Harrison Bergeron at December 31, 2007 10:05 AM

Sure I'll play, though we sadly agree on 83%:

Dem: Obama, Clinton, Edwards
GOP: Romney Huckabee, McCain

I also agree on Paul beating Giuliani. My outsider prediction will be that Edwards loses badly enough to be mortally wounded. As the great political pundit Liza Minnelli says: If he can't make it there, he can't make it anywhere.

Next November? Giuliani v. Clinton v. Bloomberg

Posted by: jk at December 31, 2007 11:13 AM

I, for one, see things a bit differently:

Dummycrats - Obama, Edwards, Clinton
Publicspendicans - Huckabee, Romney, Thompson

I don't think Edwards is going away anytime soon with Hillary on such shaky ground.

And I'm still optimistic that Thompson can make a substantive impression on voters between now and Super Tuesday.

Out-on-a-limb nominee predictions - Edwards v. Thompson

(Yes it's a stretch, but not a lot less likely than any other pairing.)

Posted by: johngalt at December 31, 2007 1:52 PM

I think that Fred! has a better chance than Rudy! However, potential points to jk for including Bloomberg (although aides to Bloomberg have said that he will absolutely not run against Rudy because of their relationship and Rudy's endorsement).

Posted by: HB at January 1, 2008 9:07 AM | What do you think? [3]