May 22, 2007
2007 Hurricane Season
Government forecasters warned of a busier-than-normal hurricane season Tuesday.National Weather Service forecasters said they expect 13 to 17 tropical storms, with seven to 10 of them becoming hurricanes.
CBS News reports they also believe that 3-5 of the storms will be Category 3 or higher.
An average Atlantic hurricane season brings 11 named tropical storms, six of which become hurricanes including two major ones, NOAA said.
The forecast follows that of two other leading storm experts in anticipating a busy season.
Does anyone remember the forecasts of 2006's first post-Katrina season?
I've been reading a number of stories this morning about the upcoming season, and none mention it.
Here's one from forecasting guru William Gray.
The 2006 forecast calls for:
17 named tropical storms; an average season has 9.6.
9 hurricanes compared to the average of 5.9.
5 major hurricanes with winds exceeding 110 mph; average is 2.3.
Another busier-than-normal season.
Wikipedia shows what really happened.
Total storms: 10
Hurricanes: 5
Major hurricanes (Cat. 3+): 2
Um, kinda below average.
But let's base major policy decisions from here on out on weather modeling.
Environment Posted by AlexC at May 22, 2007 3:27 PM