December 26, 2006

The D in DAWG

The 2006 Census Estimates are out (It's like Christmas!) and they offer some hints at reapportionment after the 2010 Census.

Club for Growth linked to it because most of the states that stand to gain seats are friendlier to pro-growth economic policy than the states that are losing seats. That seems fair, although I have watched Colorado shift from Red to Purple as it gained seats, so it is difficult to extrapolate. All the same, one must agree that any loss of political power in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts would be a good thing for the republic.

Hurting for blogworthy material in a slow news week, I was struck by the tale it tells of migration to warmer climes: The six states listed as certain to gain seats are Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, Texas and Utah. A few ski areas notwithstanding, that strikes me as a sunshine list. Certain to lose? Iowa, Pennsylvania (sorry friends), New York, Ohio -- only Louisiana and Missouri buck the trend.

Polidata’s Clark Bensen also observes that Florida (currently with 25 seats) is now poised to replace New York (29 seats) as the third most populous state – and that both states might end up with 27-member delegations when the dust settles after reapportionment.

Sixty years ago, no one would have believed that Florida and New York might one day have House delegations of equal size. In the 1940s, the New York delegation was a 45-member congressional powerhouse while Florida was a puny 6-seat weakling. But between 1942 and 2002, Florida gained 19 seats while New York lost 16.


Back to my tendentious acronymical invention. If Global Warming exists and is Anthropogenic, is it Deleterious? A shift of 20-something house seats shows that warmth has a value. It's been seven days since I left my house, you can call me interested.

Deleterious Anthropogenic Warming of the Globe Posted by jk at December 26, 2006 1:38 PM

I think you're on to something. My first guess was differential state and local tax burden but a perusal here shows Utah is 9th and Arizona is 21st highest.

Also, if you need to get out and can't please let me know. Zoe and I will swing by with the Power Wagon and get you where you need to go.

Posted by: johngalt at December 26, 2006 3:06 PM

Thanks for the kind offer. I could get out if I had to and we are well provisioned. Granola-mobile or not, I missed the old Subaru this week.

Posted by: jk at December 26, 2006 3:28 PM

So if temperatures are rising, we'd expect to pay less for heating fuel right?

Posted by: AlexC at December 26, 2006 11:17 PM

After you move to Florida, ac, your heating oil bills will be negligible.

Posted by: jk at December 27, 2006 12:40 PM | What do you think? [4]