November 6, 2006
Election Predictions I
My call in Pa.
Governor Unfortunately Ed Rendell. Former Pittsburgh Steeler Lynn Swann never caught on with the state, pardon the pun. 10 pts.
Senate Rick Santorum in a squeaker. If it's 2 pts, it's alot.
Congress:
PA-06: Jim Gerlach, my congressman will be re-elected by 3 pts over liberal Lois Murphy.
PA-07: Curt Weldon, done in by scandal to pride of the nutroots, Joe Sestak.
PA-08: Mike Fitzpatrick beats Patrick Murphy about a handful... 4-ish.
House and Senate remain Republican, which means the Democrats lose.
Pennsylvania Politics Posted by AlexC at November 6, 2006 10:10 PM
Brave man. You doing a final House and Senate tally?
I'll go along with Santorum as the surprise of the night. My head says no, my heart says yes. I also like Steele's chances in MD to pick up a Senate seat. I think Ford is a goner in TN. GOP keeps one of Talent in MO, or Burns in MT. We may not even be rid of Sen. Chafee.
Feeling good about the Senate but not the house: 220(D+I) - 215R. The Blue Dog Democrats will keep the Pelosi-Conyers-Rangel axis in line and the troops will not be defunded. Extending the tax cuts becomes a huge issue in 2008.
Posted by: jk at November 7, 2006 11:18 AMMy score?
Gov: Right on winner, wrong on score (20 pts)
Senate: Wrong on winner, wrong on score (18 pts), this one hurts the most.
Congress:
PA-6: Right on winner, Gerlach's lead now is 0.4%, about 700 votes out of 204,000 cast.
PA-7: Right on winner
PA-8: Wrong on winner, wrong on score. Dem Murphy leades Fitzpatrick 0.6%, 1,500 out of 251,000 votes.
Posted by: AlexC at November 8, 2006 10:50 AMoh, the House falls, and the Senate is on the brink.
Not a good day for Alex.
Posted by: AlexC at November 8, 2006 10:52 AM | What do you think? [3]