March 10, 2006

You guys think I make this stuff up

We're currently enjoying one of our famous internecine rifts at Three Sources. I think I may be alone in the weeds in my support of the Dubai Ports purchase.

I have some good friends, however, I'd suggest that anybody read Larry Kudlow's blog and either of two editorials in today's Wall Street Journal. the lead editorial shares my concern about a new case for protectionism.

What's especially dangerous here is that we're seeing the re-emergence of the "national security" protectionists. They were last seen in the late 1980s, when Japan in particular was the target of a political foreign-investment panic. The Japanese were buying Pebble Beach and Rockefeller Center, and so America was soon going to be a colony of Tokyo. A Japanese bid for Fairchild Semiconductor of Silicon Valley was seen as a threat to American defense. Those fears seem laughable now. But here we go again, with new targets of anxiety.

Not only protectionism, but why don't we use this as an excuse to let government take over the marketplace. Karl Marx and Republican Rep. Duncan Hunter share that utopian view.
If you think corruption on Capitol Hill is bad now, wait until foreigners need approval from Congress for every multi-billion-dollar investment. The current investment review process was designed by the Reagan Administration to be discreet, and to keep Congress out, precisely to avoid such politicization.

In recent weeks Members of Congress have suggested that the foreign-ownership ban should apply to: roads, telecommunications, airlines, broadcasting, shipping, technology firms, water facilities, buildings, real estate, and even U.S. Treasury securities. If this keeps up, we'll soon arrive at France, where even food and music are "protected" from foreign influences as a matter of national survival.

The larger truth is that the flow of foreign investment into the U.S. is a sign of economic strength, not weakness. For 25 years pro-growth economic policies including monetary stability, steep tax-rate reductions on capital and freer trade have created a giant in-sucking sound of some $4 trillion of global investment into America. Economist David Malpass of Bear Stearns recently calculated that U.S. GDP grew by 100% between 1992 and 2005 while world GDP growth measured in dollars grew by only 70%. Over that same period, the U.S. created four times the number of new jobs as Europe and Japan combined.


So, do I make this stuff up, or dies trade and specialization and comparative advantage and direct foreign investment really make us richer. Here's a graph for me to love -- read 'em and weep, protectionists!


acct_deficit.jpg

Economics and Markets Posted by jk at March 10, 2006 10:48 AM

To paraphrase a quote, I do not think that word means what you think it does.

n·ter·nec·ine
adj.

1. Of or relating to struggle within a nation, organization, or group.
2. Mutually destructive; ruinous or fatal to both sides.
3. Characterized by bloodshed or carnage.

Maybe #3 does apply ....

Posted by: mdmhvonpa at March 10, 2006 11:45 AM

You hit on my favorite thing about this blog.

AlexC, Johngalt and I represent three reliable GOP votes, yet we find no shortage of things to argue about. I have always held that there is more to be learned listening to two people who respect each other and agree on much, arguing a topic on which they disagree. I lost enjoyment in the Crosspoint or Hannity-Colmes argument years ago. "More heat than light" as a good (very liberal) friend says.


Side note: Silence Dogood and I have probably never voted for the same candidate in our lifetime, yet we go out to lunch or coffee and frequently find it difficult to find a topic of disagreement.

Posted by: jk at March 10, 2006 12:11 PM

I don't think I ever said I was against the ports deal, I just think it doesn't look good. Superficially.

I said, "This sounds to me like one of those big deals that probably isn't a big deal"

I even went as far as posting pro-UAE talking points, http://www.threesources.com/archives/002432.html .

And I understand all about free trade, capital investment and the tangible benefits of it. I'm not a protectionist.
Color me skeptical. I'm between you and Johngalt, I suppose.

Oh, and I think definition #1 applies here.

Posted by: AlexC at March 10, 2006 12:35 PM

Sigh. I think we agree again JK. I truly have not been following this story very closely, but the ports run by the Dubai outfit would still have to comply with US law and be subject to the oversight of US port inspectors and the Coast Guard so I don't really see a problem. What I wonder is, with all the hubbub have any US corporations stepped up to bid for the job? Were their any in the initial bid and were they just more expensive?

Posted by: Silence Dogood at March 10, 2006 2:05 PM

Larry Kudlow was losing his mind on this topic, Silence. There are ZERO US Firms bidding on this or wanting to play. We have ZERO competitive advantage in this field, it's not a money maker and the foreigners only want to do the work to facilitate the other ends of the supply chain.

Kudlow told one guest "you sound like a Congressman!" just assuming that there exists a surfeit of companies that want to do this.

AlexC may get his wish, Larry thought Halliburton was one of the few firms that might bid at all.

Posted by: jk at March 11, 2006 1:34 PM | What do you think? [5]